Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:            
                           
                              [ What are these? | Switch to CSCO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.26%.   Win rate: 80.56%.   Sharpe Ratio: -7.459.   Maximum drawdown: -39.04% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 101.71%. Time in market: 6274 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3854.58 on 22 January 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Cisco Systems

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 36 signal(s) occurring before 13 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.56% * 8.88%) + (19.44% * 0.53%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.26%.
Wins: 29 Breakevens: 7 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Cisco Systems Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
20 August 2026 50 Day Low 53 93 100 82 58 73 schedule schedule schedule
13 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 89 96 schedule schedule schedule
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 59 94 100 82 60 77 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 73 72 100 82 62 80 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 78 86 100 82 62 87 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 58 71 100 82 61 70 schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 66 68 100 82 62 74 schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 56 82 100 82 62 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 44 91 100 79 62 65 schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 71 91 100 81 61 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 113.27 59 94 100 82 60 77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 120.56 58 71 100 82 61 70 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 79.62 63 95 100 80 61 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 February 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 77.36 72 74 100 83 68 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 61.73 55 82 100 82 71 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 55.60 92 91 100 80 72 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 February 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 48.74 46 87 100 71 86 64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 December 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 49.81 68 90 100 73 87 80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 November 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 47.67 58 94 100 70 86 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
30 May 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 48.97 58 86 100 77 90 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 April 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 47.23 64 87 100 79 90 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 39.70 94 95 100 75 71 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 45.72 89 94 100 78 73 95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 June 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.03 90 90 100 78 73 95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 May 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.58 90 93 100 85 80 96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 April 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 52.62 59 93 100 85 80 76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 55.95 70 85 100 79 77 81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 55.41 52 89 100 79 77 70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 November 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 54.96 71 90 100 78 76 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 November 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.73 67 89 100 72 98 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.04 76 95 100 72 96 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 September 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.89 77 94 100 72 95 86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 August 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 41.76 71 87 100 72 94 81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.25 92 95 100 73 95 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.69 75 90 100 73 93 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 December 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.27 72 67 100 72 93 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 September 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 47.75 64 88 100 73 92 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 51.74 72 94 100 73 91 83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 June 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 54.41 67 85 100 81 93 79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 May 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 53.48 64 83 100 86 93 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 January 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.69 74 84 100 80 95 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.55 96 97 100 80 96 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.06 81 88 100 86 95 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.59 61 83 100 95 95 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 May 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.16 62 93 100 90 95 78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 April 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 39.29 71 92 100 91 93 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
09 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.73 77 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 29.40 67 67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 29.00 68 64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 May 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.66 79 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 February 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.23 83 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 January 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 20.32 93 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Cisco Systems Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: CSCO) was last updated 21 Aug 2026 07:24. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 20 Aug 2026.