Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.
Calculations for Cincinnati Financial
Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.
Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 9.09%) + (14.29% * 1.19%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.96%.
Wins: 18 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.
Cincinnati Financial Analysis
Market sector: Financials.
External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.
These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.
50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date and Score | Buy Signal | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 26 March 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.854 factory0.721 | 50 Day Low | $ 156.37 | |||||
| 22 January 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.757 factory0.679 | 50 Day Low | $ 159.86 | |||||
| 07 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.978 factory0.859 FIRE SALE | 50 Day Low | $ 127.82 | |||||
| 12 February 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.839 factory0.744 | 50 Day Low | $ 135.27 | |||||
| 10 January 2025 HIGH smart_toy0.929 factory0.778 | 50 Day Low | $ 137.38 | |||||
| 17 June 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.8 factory0.758 | 50 Day Low | $ 112.23 | |||||
| 02 October 2023 HIGH smart_toy0.849 factory0.872 | 50 Day Low | $ 100.95 | |||||
| 31 May 2023 HIGH smart_toy0.883 factory0.747 | 50 Day Low | $ 95.52 | |||||
| 25 April 2023 HIGH smart_toy0.562 factory0.53 | 50 Day Low | $ 104.24 | |||||
| 22 September 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.975 factory0.929 FIRE SALE | 50 Day Low | $ 93.92 | |||||
| 14 July 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.971 factory0.902 FIRE SALE | 50 Day Low | $ 112.18 | |||||
| 10 June 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.948 factory0.882 | 50 Day Low | $ 120.62 | |||||
| 20 December 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.771 factory0.688 | 50 Day Low | $ 110.70 | |||||
| 20 September 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.568 factory0.754 | 50 Day Low | $ 114.54 | |||||
| 28 October 2020 MEDIUM smart_toy0.772 factory0.662 | 50 Day Low | $ 72.90 | |||||
| 30 April 2020 MEDIUM smart_toy0.972 factory0.831 | 50 Day Low | $ 66.49 | |||||
| 27 February 2020 HIGH smart_toy0.851 factory0.872 FIRE SALE | 50 Day Low | $ 98.34 | |||||
| 19 December 2019 MEDIUM smart_toy0.62 factory0.714 | 50 Day Low | $ 101.70 | |||||
| 07 November 2019 MEDIUM smart_toy0.829 factory0.657 | 50 Day Low | $ 107.41 | |||||
| 12 October 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.757 factory0.903 | 50 Day Low | $ 69.94 | |||||
| 15 June 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.694 factory0.773 | 50 Day Low | $ 64.81 | |||||
| 26 April 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.639 factory0.725 | 50 Day Low | $ 67.81 | |||||
| 08 February 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.912 factory0.735 | 50 Day Low | $ 67.30 | |||||
| 27 October 2017 MEDIUM smart_toy0.738 factory0.692 | 50 Day Low | $ 67.35 | |||||
| 09 May 2017 MEDIUM smart_toy0.721 factory0.748 | 50 Day Low | $ 63.28 | |||||
| 04 October 2016 LOW smart_toy0.766 factory0.773 | 50 Day Low | $ 66.65 | |||||
| 06 January 2016 LOW smart_toy0.987 factory0.901 | 50 Day Low | $ 50.26 | |||||
The data for Cincinnati Financial Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: CINF) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 29 May 2026.