Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF) Monthly Backtest Results crown

The data points on this monthly chart show the results of using the 10 Month SMA Double Cross strategy on this stock. Read about this strategy here. This is a long term investment strategy designed to catch major bull runs in stocks and indices then exit before the worst of a serious drawdown. It tends to work better with securites that are prone to forming valuation bubbles. To view shorter term swing trading entry signals for this stock then go here.

Key: change_history : trade entry change_history : profitable trade exit change_history : breakeven trade exit (5% loss to 5% profit) change_history : losing trade (greater than 5% loss) show_chart : 10 month simple moving average (SMA)
Hover your mouse over the labels to view more details of each trade.
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

 

Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each monthly entry signal. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) shows the profitability of the trade on an annualised basis.

Entry Date Exit Date Profit or Loss CAGR
01 July 2025 Trade in progress 12.45%
01 March 2024 01 May 2025 22.07% 18.63%
01 March 2023 01 May 2023 -13.80% -58.88%
01 March 2022 01 July 2022 -1.04% -3.07%
04 January 2021 03 January 2022 32.00% 32.11%
04 September 2018 02 March 2020 31.78% 20.34%
02 January 2018 01 May 2018 -4.08% -11.99%
01 August 2017 01 November 2017 -7.15% -25.74%
01 April 2016 01 February 2017 9.46% 11.43%
01 December 2015 01 February 2016 -5.07% -26.37%
Total Return 76.63%

 

The monthly data for Cincinnati Financial Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: CINF) was last updated 27 Dec 2025 05:06. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 26 Dec 2025.