Astec Industries Inc (ASTE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to ASTE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.23%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.867.   Maximum drawdown: -53.60% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 116.83%. Time in market: 3940 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1886.16 on 13 August 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Astec Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 29 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.33% * 9.08%) + (12.50% * 1.61%) - (4.17% * 12.77%) = 7.23%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Astec Industries Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
05 August 2026 Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (58%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2026 26 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (42%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2026 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (50%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   schedule schedule schedule
30 July 2026 Super Oversold (MD)   smart_toyLOW (69%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   schedule schedule schedule
29 July 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (33%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (48%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Mega Dump   smart_toyLOW (75%)   faceLOW (5%)    front_loaderLOW   schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (69%)   faceHIGH (87%)    front_loaderLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 June 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (55%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026 Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (34%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   schedule schedule schedule

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 August 2026   smart_toyLOW (58%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 46.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (50%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 49.42 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 November 2025   smart_toyLOW (62%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 41.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (33%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 32.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 July 2024   smart_toyLOW (41%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 29.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (64%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 31.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2024   smart_toyLOW (60%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 34.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2023   smart_toyLOW (55%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 44.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (74%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 37.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022   smart_toyHIGH (94%)   faceHIGH (100%)    front_loaderHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 31.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2022   smart_toyLOW (68%)   faceLOW (25%)    front_loaderLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 38.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 March 2022   smart_toyLOW (70%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 43.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 February 2022   smart_toyLOW (52%)   faceLOW (0%)    front_loaderLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 53.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 October 2021   smart_toyLOW (60%)   faceLOW (0%)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 51.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2021   smart_toyLOW (50%)   faceLOW (0%)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 57.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 July 2021   smart_toyLOW (53%)   faceLOW (0%)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 57.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 June 2021   smart_toyLOW (26%)   faceLOW (0%)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 63.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
06 March 2020   smart_toyLOW (77%)   faceMEDIUM (62%)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 36.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (71%)   faceLOW (0%)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 28.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (76%)   faceLOW (0%)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 29.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 April 2019   smart_toyLOW (52%)   faceLOW (0%)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 33.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2018   smart_toyLOW (76%)   faceHIGH (77%)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 32.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (51%)   faceMEDIUM (62%)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 38.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 July 2018   smart_toyLOW (26%)   faceLOW (0%)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 51.45 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 April 2018   smart_toyLOW (44%)   faceLOW (0%)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 52.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 July 2017   smart_toyLOW (50%)   faceLOW (0%)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 48.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2017   smart_toyLOW (57%)   faceLOW (0%)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 57.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 March 2017   smart_toyLOW (40%)   faceLOW (0%)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 60.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Astec Industries Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ASTE) was last updated 06 Aug 2026 07:13. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 05 Aug 2026.