Astec Industries Inc (ASTE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to ASTE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.11%.   Win rate: 81.82%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.726.   Maximum drawdown: -53.60% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 109.3%. Time in market: 3890 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1886.16 on 13 August 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Astec Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (81.82% * 9.13%) + (13.64% * 1.61%) - (4.55% * 12.77%) = 7.11%.
Wins: 18 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Astec Industries Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.83   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 49.42 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.741   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 41.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.676   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 32.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.811   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 29.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.922   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 31.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.836   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 34.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.901   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 44.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.914   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 37.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.669   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 31.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.819   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 38.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 March 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.947   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 43.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.937   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 53.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 October 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.689   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 51.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.818   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 57.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 July 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.652   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 57.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 June 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.812   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 63.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
06 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.925   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 36.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.711   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 28.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.695   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 29.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 April 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.55   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 33.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.678   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 32.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.92   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 38.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 July 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.661   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 51.45 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 April 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.637   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 52.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 July 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.583   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 48.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.739   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 57.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.685   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 60.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Astec Industries Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ASTE) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 May 2026.