Astec Industries Inc (ASTE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to ASTE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.93%.   Win rate: 88.89%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.366.   Maximum drawdown: -45.74% on 28 August 2019.
Mean CAGR: 164.3%. Time in market: 1987 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2415.78 on 07 November 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Astec Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 18 signal(s) occurring before 17 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (88.89% * 10.00%) + (11.11% * 9.41%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.93%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Astec Industries Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 June 2026      front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump $ 56.58 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 May 2026      front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump $ 48.21 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 June 2024      front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump $ 31.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 May 2024      front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump $ 33.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 December 2023      front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump $ 32.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2023      front_loaderLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 31.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2023      front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump $ 41.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 March 2023      front_loaderHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 39.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2022      front_loaderHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 33.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2022       Mega Dump $ 42.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 February 2022       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 50.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 April 2020       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 36.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 March 2020       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 29.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 May 2019       Mega Dump $ 29.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 April 2019       Mega Dump $ 32.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 January 2019       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 30.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 November 2018       Mega Dump $ 34.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 October 2018       Mega Dump $ 33.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2018       Mega Dump $ 48.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 August 2018       Mega Dump $ 45.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Astec Industries Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ASTE) was last updated 25 Jun 2026 08:31. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 24 Jun 2026.