Astec Industries Inc (ASTE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to ASTE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.73%. Win rate: 77.78%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.595. Maximum drawdown: -56.88% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 123.79%. Time in market: 5101 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $844.83 on 05 September 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Astec Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 27 signal(s) occurring before 22 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (77.78% * 10.18%) + (7.41% * 1.48%) - (14.81% * 29.01%) = 3.73%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Astec Industries Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Score	Performance
			5%	6%	7.5%
29 July 2026	Gap Down	smart_toyLOW (33) front_loaderLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
13 July 2026	Mega Dump Lite	smart_toyLOW (48) front_loaderLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
23 June 2026	Mega Dump	smart_toyLOW (75) front_loaderLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 June 2026	Oversold Rebound	smart_toyLOW (69) front_loaderLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 June 2026	Gap Down	smart_toyLOW (55) front_loaderLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
27 May 2026	Double Seven	smart_toyLOW (34) front_loaderLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
27 May 2026	Mega Dump Lite	smart_toyLOW (39) front_loaderLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 May 2026	Rate of Change	smart_toyLOW (64) front_loaderLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
20 May 2026	Mega Dump	smart_toyLOW (69) front_loaderLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
13 May 2026	50 Day Low	smart_toyLOW (42) front_loaderLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
29 July 2026 smart_toyLOW (33) front_loaderLOW	Gap Down	$ 53.00	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
10 June 2026 smart_toyLOW (55) front_loaderLOW	Gap Down	$ 50.60	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
09 October 2025 smart_toyLOW (66) front_loaderLOW	Gap Down	$ 47.02	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
01 August 2025 smart_toyLOW (34) front_loaderLOW	Gap Down	$ 38.44	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025 smart_toyLOW (52) front_loaderLOW	Gap Down	$ 32.44	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 February 2025 smart_toyLOW (36) front_loaderLOW	Gap Down	$ 32.06	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 September 2024 smart_toyLOW (49) front_loaderLOW	Gap Down	$ 32.68	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
24 July 2024 smart_toyLOW (52) front_loaderLOW	Gap Down	$ 33.99	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2024 smart_toyLOW (52) front_loaderLOW	Gap Down	$ 34.45	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (42) front_loaderLOW	Gap Down	$ 44.82	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
05 September 2023 smart_toyLOW (31) front_loaderLOW	Gap Down	$ 51.88	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
04 May 2023 smart_toyLOW (68) front_loaderHIGH	Gap Down	$ 41.38	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 March 2023 smart_toyLOW (60) front_loaderHIGH	Gap Down	$ 39.87	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
20 October 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (80) front_loaderHIGH	Gap Down	$ 35.34	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2022 smart_toyLOW (70) front_loaderLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 38.04	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
02 August 2022 smart_toyLOW (60) front_loaderHIGH	Gap Down	$ 43.25	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
05 April 2022 smart_toyLOW (51) front_loaderLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 42.42	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
01 March 2022 smart_toyLOW (57) front_loaderLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 48.43	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 December 2021 smart_toyLOW (44) front_loaderLOW	Gap Down	$ 66.88	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
28 June 2021 smart_toyLOW (33)	Gap Down	$ 63.68	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
25 May 2021 smart_toyLOW (42)	Gap Down	$ 66.09	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	disabled_by_default
27 January 2021 smart_toyLOW (60)	Gap Down	$ 61.16	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 October 2020 smart_toyLOW (68)	Gap Down	$ 54.10	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2020 smart_toyLOW (68)	Gap Down	$ 50.58	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 July 2020 smart_toyLOW (39)	Gap Down	$ 44.40	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2020 smart_toyLOW (51)	Gap Down	$ 37.28	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2020 smart_toyLOW (75)	Gap Down	$ 38.99	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 March 2019 smart_toyLOW (59)	Gap Down	$ 36.93	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
04 December 2018 smart_toyLOW (68) sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 34.29	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
01 August 2018 smart_toyLOW (28)	Gap Down	$ 46.69	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
05 February 2018 smart_toyLOW (34)	Gap Down	$ 58.76	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
02 October 2017 smart_toyLOW (42)	Gap Down	$ 51.43	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
25 July 2017 smart_toyLOW (52)	Gap Down	$ 48.77	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2017 smart_toyLOW (37)	Gap Down	$ 65.03	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
25 October 2016 smart_toyLOW (69)	Gap Down	$ 54.30	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

The data for Astec Industries Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ASTE) was last updated 30 Jul 2026 04:37. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 Jul 2026.