Astec Industries Inc (ASTE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to ASTE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.52%.   Win rate: 86.21%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.827.   Maximum drawdown: -53.60% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 122.85%. Time in market: 4731 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1561.54 on 07 November 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Astec Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 29 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.21% * 9.77%) + (6.90% * 0.30%) - (6.90% * 27.94%) = 6.52%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Astec Industries Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.83  factory0.581   50 Day Low $ 49.42 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.777  factory0.572   50 Day Low $ 44.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.673  factory0.402   50 Day Low $ 30.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.94  factory0.755   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 31.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.842  factory0.333   50 Day Low $ 28.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.922  factory0.341   50 Day Low $ 31.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.836  factory0.303   50 Day Low $ 34.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.939  factory0.642   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 31.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.607  factory0.56   50 Day Low $ 46.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.914  factory0.573   50 Day Low $ 37.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 January 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.643  factory0.686   50 Day Low $ 37.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.669  factory0.601   50 Day Low $ 31.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.819  factory0.712   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 38.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.965  factory0.441   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 38.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.996  factory0.467   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 43.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.878  factory0.346   50 Day Low $ 62.39 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 October 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.689  factory0.747   50 Day Low $ 51.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.818  factory0.362   50 Day Low $ 57.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 July 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.652  factory0.377   50 Day Low $ 57.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.804  factory0.357   50 Day Low $ 64.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
06 May 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.678  factory0.381   50 Day Low $ 67.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 November 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.769  factory0.456   50 Day Low $ 49.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.759  factory0.757   50 Day Low $ 38.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.676  factory0.805   50 Day Low $ 28.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.695  factory0.826   50 Day Low $ 29.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 April 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.55  factory0.291   50 Day Low $ 33.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.678  factory0.688   50 Day Low $ 32.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.92  factory0.795   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 38.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 July 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.661  factory0.771   50 Day Low $ 51.45 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.907  factory0.457   50 Day Low $ 55.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 July 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.583  factory0.375   50 Day Low $ 48.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.801  factory0.526   50 Day Low $ 53.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.739  factory0.55   50 Day Low $ 57.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.685  factory0.316   50 Day Low $ 60.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.853  factory0.71   50 Day Low $ 51.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Astec Industries Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ASTE) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.