ASML Holding NV (ASML) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to ASML's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.38%.   Win rate: 90.57%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.038.   Maximum drawdown: -54.74% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 138.44%. Time in market: 5914 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5497.55 on 06 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for ASML

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 53 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.57% * 8.64%) + (5.66% * 1.02%) - (3.77% * 13.30%) = 7.38%.
Wins: 48 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

ASML Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 1941.38 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 May 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 1496.82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 1522.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 1356.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 February 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 1422.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 December 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 1078.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 1040.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 October 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 1019.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2025   smart_toyLOW (62)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 747.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 July 2025   smart_toyLOW (52)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 732.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 May 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)     Mega Dump Lite $ 707.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Mega Dump Lite $ 601.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 March 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)     Mega Dump Lite $ 735.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 January 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (55)     Mega Dump Lite $ 738.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 November 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 669.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     Mega Dump Lite $ 814.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 September 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (50)     Mega Dump Lite $ 869.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 July 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)     Mega Dump Lite $ 876.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 May 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (50)     Mega Dump Lite $ 959.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 April 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (42)     Mega Dump Lite $ 902.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 March 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)     Mega Dump Lite $ 963.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 January 2024   smart_toyLOW (65)     Mega Dump Lite $ 715.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2023   smart_toyLOW (65)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 641.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 October 2023   smart_toyLOW (54)     Mega Dump Lite $ 580.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (48)     Mega Dump Lite $ 657.40 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2023   smart_toyLOW (42)     Mega Dump Lite $ 707.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 637.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2023   smart_toyLOW (69)     Mega Dump Lite $ 657.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 March 2023   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 624.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2023   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 656.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 December 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Mega Dump Lite $ 543.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 November 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)     Mega Dump Lite $ 465.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 October 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (91)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 427.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 August 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 499.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 July 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)     Mega Dump Lite $ 567.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 511.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Mega Dump Lite $ 551.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (42)     Mega Dump Lite $ 632.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (40)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 680.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (49)     Mega Dump Lite $ 651.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
14 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 740.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 772.52 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (54)     Mega Dump Lite $ 851.03 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 October 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)     Mega Dump Lite $ 746.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 May 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (50)     Mega Dump Lite $ 638.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)     Mega Dump Lite $ 634.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)     Mega Dump Lite $ 533.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2020   smart_toyLOW (65)     Mega Dump Lite $ 423.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2020   smart_toyLOW (54)     Mega Dump Lite $ 402.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 September 2020   smart_toyLOW (57)     Mega Dump Lite $ 360.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 August 2020   smart_toyLOW (53)     Mega Dump Lite $ 368.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (92)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 243.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 287.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2019   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 237.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 215.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2019   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 189.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (53)     Mega Dump Lite $ 198.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 January 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 155.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2018   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 158.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 November 2018   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 165.93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (49)     Mega Dump Lite $ 177.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 September 2018   smart_toyLOW (41)     Mega Dump Lite $ 177.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 August 2018   smart_toyLOW (29)     Mega Dump Lite $ 208.71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 July 2018   smart_toyLOW (37)     Mega Dump Lite $ 188.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 May 2018   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 198.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
19 April 2018   smart_toyLOW (49)     Mega Dump Lite $ 193.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 March 2018   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 207.23 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (58)     Mega Dump Lite $ 179.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 December 2017   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 167.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 October 2016   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 98.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2016   smart_toyLOW (78)     Mega Dump Lite $ 92.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for ASML Holding NV (exchange: XNAS symbol: ASML) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 09:10. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 30 Jun 2026.