ASML Holding NV (ASML) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:            
                           
                              [ What are these? | Switch to ASML's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.25%.   Win rate: 88.89%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.471.   Maximum drawdown: -54.74% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 135.88%. Time in market: 6327 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5515.14 on 16 September 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for ASML

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 54 signal(s) occurring before 13 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (88.89% * 8.64%) + (7.41% * 0.84%) - (3.70% * 13.30%) = 7.25%.
Wins: 48 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

ASML Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
18 August 2026 Gap Down 60 85 93 92 56 77 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 85 81 93 92 56 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 54 94 93 92 56 74 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 64 90 93 92 61 80 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 91 74 93 92 61 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 68 71 93 92 61 77 schedule schedule schedule
18 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 86 83 93 92 61 92 schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 85 75 93 92 61 89 schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 75 78 93 92 61 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 64 85 93 92 61 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 1773.48 54 94 93 92 56 74 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 1941.38 68 71 93 92 61 77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 1496.82 58 90 93 88 60 76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 April 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 1522.34 71 93 93 88 59 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 1356.62 85 93 93 88 65 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 February 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 1422.66 88 81 93 89 68 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 December 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 1078.36 82 84 93 88 71 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 1040.82 84 90 93 90 70 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 October 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 1019.97 85 87 94 80 69 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 747.81 62 84 94 76 60 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 July 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 732.57 52 75 94 78 62 67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 May 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 707.71 62 80 95 79 68 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 601.17 88 94 95 76 67 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 March 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 735.68 74 85 95 75 68 84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 January 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 738.54 55 88 95 77 68 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 November 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 669.74 51 89 96 69 70 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 814.48 66 85 95 70 69 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 September 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 869.00 50 85 95 69 72 67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 July 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 876.37 63 82 95 67 73 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 May 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 959.72 50 77 95 84 79 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 April 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 902.68 42 89 95 77 78 62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 March 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 963.50 58 88 95 89 80 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 January 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 715.59 65 81 97 73 88 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 641.72 65 88 100 74 91 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 October 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 580.47 54 94 100 78 92 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 657.40 48 92 100 79 92 67 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 707.24 42 92 100 83 93 62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 637.91 76 90 100 82 93 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 657.71 69 87 100 84 93 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 March 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 624.14 77 83 100 84 88 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 656.03 76 86 100 80 76 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 December 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 543.63 88 94 100 79 77 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 November 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 465.56 79 87 100 80 77 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 427.64 91 97 100 77 76 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 August 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 499.78 71 92 100 76 75 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 567.94 72 91 100 76 76 84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 511.50 82 90 100 76 75 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 551.00 80 93 100 83 82 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 632.52 42 94 100 83 82 63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 680.56 40 89 100 74 79 60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 February 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 651.94 49 90 100 74 79 67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
14 January 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 740.06 56 87 100 69 79 71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 772.52 60 92 100 70 79 75 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 November 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 851.03 54 92 100 79 80 72 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 October 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 746.11 52 94 100 80 80 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 May 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 638.95 50 81 100 68 82 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 634.33 58 79 100 69 84 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 533.58 47 80 100 68 82 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 423.23 65 92 100 65 82 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 402.02 54 94 100 68 83 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 September 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 360.44 57 95 100 74 82 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 August 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 368.18 53 90 100 91 87 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 243.51 92 95 100 91 98 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 287.40 68 86 100 90 96 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 237.98 68 88 100 90 94 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 215.84 76 94 100 90 93 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 189.80 73 85 100 91 94 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 May 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 198.92 53 83 100 92 94 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 January 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 155.67 83 81 100 87 96 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 158.26 87 92 100 90 97 94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 November 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 165.93 73 90 100 97 95 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 October 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 177.92 49 94 100 97 96 69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 September 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 177.16 41 91 100 97 96 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 August 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 208.71 29 87 100 97 95 51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 July 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 188.33 37 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 May 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 198.42 51 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
19 April 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 193.56 49 91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 March 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 207.23 51 88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 179.92 58 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 December 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 167.92 75 89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 October 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 98.64 75 95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 92.44 78 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for ASML Holding NV (exchange: XNAS symbol: ASML) was last updated 21 Aug 2026 07:24. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 20 Aug 2026.