Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:            
                           
                              [ What are these? | Switch to AMAT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.84%.   Win rate: 96.43%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.327.   Maximum drawdown: -36.05% on 04 April 2025.
Mean CAGR: 182.37%. Time in market: 1484 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $4314.22 on 23 September 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Applied Materials

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 28 signal(s) occurring before 13 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (96.43% * 9.15%) + (3.57% * 0.42%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.84%.
Wins: 27 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Applied Materials Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
13 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 97 96 schedule schedule schedule
11 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump 94 78 97 97 68 95  info schedule schedule schedule
10 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 67 79 97 97 68 80 schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 82 79 97 97 68 88 schedule schedule schedule
03 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 80 83 97 97 68 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 87 81 97 97 68 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 53 94 97 97 68 74 schedule schedule schedule
22 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 73 83 97 97 70 85 schedule schedule schedule
17 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) 76 86 97 97 71 87 schedule schedule schedule
15 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 82 82 97 97 72 89 schedule schedule schedule

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 541.61 97 96 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 539.37 82 79 97 97 68 88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 508.54 80 83 97 97 68 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 519.68 87 81 97 97 68 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 549.28 73 83 97 97 70 85 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 594.90 82 82 97 97 72 89 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 590.37 87 88 97 97 72 94 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 549.92 88 90 97 97 72 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 634.80 89 74 97 97 71 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 633.20 87 71 97 97 71 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
18 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 619.82 83 83 97 97 71 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
16 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 575.11 68 75 97 97 71 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 557.94 68 71 97 97 72 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 500.46 78 78 97 97 72 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 391.53 73 90 97 92 72 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 February 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 355.06 76 74 97 94 77 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 January 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 326.36 70 64 97 94 80 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2025  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 256.06 59 79 97 92 79 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 October 2025 Gap Up $ 216.04 86 85 97 86 75 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2025 Gap Up $ 190.46 59 83 97 82 69 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2025  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 170.95 42 82 98 76 68 60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2025  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 148.89 86 91 98 74 68 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2025  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 139.66 88 91 98 73 67 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 January 2025  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 180.56 29 88 98 75 68 51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 January 2025  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 192.52 25 88 98 74 69 47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2024  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 208.00 61 78 98 67 70 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 September 2024  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 193.26 51 89 98 68 71 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 August 2024  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 200.22 88 84 98 65 73 90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 March 2024  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 209.38 43 87 98 86 79 63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2024 Gap Up $ 198.24 44 87 98 68 81 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 February 2024 Gap Up $ 192.04 40 88 98 68 81 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 May 2023 Gap Up $ 132.62 72 90 100 79 89 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 December 2022 Gap Up $ 110.50 86 95 100 77 68 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 November 2022 Gap Up $ 104.34 88 94 100 78 70 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 November 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 107.92 87 92 100 78 70 93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 93.65 91 91 100 78 70 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 121.94 71 94 100 69 67 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 March 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 119.24 41 86 100 58 70 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 114.42 41 81 100 62 70 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 114.24 43 73 100 62 70 58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 February 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 116.60 58 79 100 62 70 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 January 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 104.15 57 75 100 65 79 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2020 Gap Up $ 49.54 92 92 100 91 90 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020 Gap Up $ 47.30 95 93 100 91 90 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020 Gap Up $ 44.66 97 91 100 91 92 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020 Gap Up $ 42.13 95 96 100 91 89 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020 Gap Up $ 53.18 84 93 100 91 87 93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 November 2019 Gap Up $ 61.46 73 78 100 90 89 82 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2019 Gap Up $ 54.73 83 84 100 90 91 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2019 Gap Up $ 40.25 83 79 100 97 94 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 January 2019  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 37.89 81 83 100 95 96 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 November 2017  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 54.73 55 87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 August 2016 Gap Up $ 27.70 88 55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2016 Gap Up $ 21.53 89 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 February 2016 Gap Up $ 17.44 94 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Applied Materials Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AMAT) was last updated 21 Aug 2026 07:24. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 20 Aug 2026.