Invesco Solar (TAN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to TAN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -4.65%.   Win rate: 71.88%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.785.   Maximum drawdown: -64.31% on 09 April 2025.
Mean CAGR: 133.08%. Time in market: 7376 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $391.50 on 15 October 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Solar Energy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 32 signal(s) occurring before 19 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (71.88% * 9.71%) + (3.12% * 2.93%) - (25.00% * 46.87%) = -4.65%.
Wins: 23 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 8

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (36)     Mega Dump Lite $ 62.82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 55.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)     Mega Dump Lite $ 54.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 December 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 49.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 47.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2025   smart_toyLOW (36)     Mega Dump Lite $ 36.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 July 2025   smart_toyLOW (40)     Mega Dump Lite $ 34.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (48)     Mega Dump Lite $ 31.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Mega Dump Lite $ 29.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2025   smart_toyLOW (43)     Mega Dump Lite $ 32.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (38)     Mega Dump Lite $ 35.63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 January 2025   smart_toyLOW (58)     Mega Dump Lite $ 34.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (66)     Mega Dump Lite $ 34.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (49)     Mega Dump Lite $ 35.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2024   smart_toyLOW (49)     Mega Dump Lite $ 38.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 September 2024   smart_toyLOW (52)     Mega Dump Lite $ 38.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 August 2024   smart_toyLOW (59)     Mega Dump Lite $ 39.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 July 2024   smart_toyLOW (34)     Mega Dump Lite $ 40.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
29 May 2024   smart_toyLOW (27)     Mega Dump Lite $ 47.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 April 2024   smart_toyLOW (38)     Mega Dump Lite $ 40.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2024   smart_toyLOW (33)     Mega Dump Lite $ 43.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 February 2024   smart_toyLOW (43)     Mega Dump Lite $ 42.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 January 2024   smart_toyLOW (63)     Mega Dump Lite $ 43.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 November 2023   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 45.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
16 October 2023   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 48.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (47)     Mega Dump Lite $ 56.14 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (33)     Mega Dump Lite $ 63.09 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (55)     Mega Dump Lite $ 72.72 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 April 2023   smart_toyLOW (52)     Mega Dump Lite $ 75.46 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 March 2023   smart_toyLOW (49)     Mega Dump Lite $ 75.80 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 February 2023   smart_toyLOW (29)     Mega Dump Lite $ 78.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 January 2023   smart_toyLOW (79)     Mega Dump Lite $ 73.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
01 November 2022   smart_toyLOW (78)     Mega Dump Lite $ 72.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
28 September 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Mega Dump Lite $ 76.55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 July 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Mega Dump Lite $ 73.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 June 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Mega Dump Lite $ 74.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 May 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Mega Dump Lite $ 67.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 April 2022   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 72.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 March 2022   smart_toyLOW (28)     Mega Dump Lite $ 75.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 February 2022   smart_toyLOW (41)     Mega Dump Lite $ 61.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 January 2022   smart_toyLOW (38)     Mega Dump Lite $ 71.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 December 2021   smart_toyLOW (48)     Mega Dump Lite $ 86.98 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 October 2021   smart_toyLOW (34)     Mega Dump Lite $ 79.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 August 2021   smart_toyLOW (39)     Mega Dump Lite $ 82.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 July 2021   smart_toyLOW (33)     Mega Dump Lite $ 84.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 June 2021   smart_toyLOW (28)     Mega Dump Lite $ 81.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2021   smart_toyLOW (33)     Mega Dump Lite $ 70.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2021   smart_toyLOW (36)     Mega Dump Lite $ 87.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 March 2021   smart_toyLOW (35)     Mega Dump Lite $ 83.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 February 2021   smart_toyLOW (42)     Mega Dump Lite $ 115.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Invesco Solar (exchange: ARCX symbol: TAN) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 05:06. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 26 Jun 2026.