iShares MSCI Sweden (EWD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results globe

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Double Seven Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to EWD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: Off Classic Original AI Model ML4 AI Model Threshold: All Low High Very High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 1.79%. Win rate: 69.23%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.59. Maximum drawdown: -41.51% on 12 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 107.21%. Time in market: 3443 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $946.00 on 06 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Sweden

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (69.23% * 8.20%) + (7.69% * 0.13%) - (23.08% * 16.86%) = 1.79%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
18 March 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.893 factory0.245	50 Day Low	$ 49.64	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule
18 November 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.739 factory0.429	50 Day Low	$ 46.48	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
04 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.977 factory0.802 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 38.95	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
19 December 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.507 factory0.392	50 Day Low	$ 37.51	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
31 October 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.781 factory0.395	50 Day Low	$ 39.94	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
24 July 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.141 factory0.478	50 Day Low	$ 39.60	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
26 September 2023 HIGH smart_toy0.724 factory0.468	50 Day Low	$ 32.48	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 August 2023 HIGH smart_toy0.609 factory0.252	50 Day Low	$ 33.64	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 June 2023 HIGH smart_toy0.636 factory0.269	50 Day Low	$ 34.18	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.941 factory0.867 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 32.83	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
12 October 2022 HIGH smart_toy0.987 factory0.798 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 26.73	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2022 HIGH smart_toy0.882 factory0.894 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 29.34	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022 HIGH smart_toy0.974 factory0.833 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 32.23	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
09 May 2022 HIGH smart_toy0.951 factory0.764 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 32.93	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
22 February 2022 HIGH smart_toy0.908 factory0.418 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 39.10	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
18 January 2022 LOW smart_toy0.78 factory0.335	50 Day Low	$ 43.51	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
14 December 2021 LOW smart_toy0.329 factory0.585	50 Day Low	$ 44.06	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
20 September 2021 LOW smart_toy0.883 factory0.288	50 Day Low	$ 45.57	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
18 June 2021 LOW smart_toy0.96 factory0.247	50 Day Low	$ 45.70	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default

The data for iShares MSCI Sweden (exchange: ARCX symbol: EWD) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 May 2026.