iShares MSCI Sweden (EWD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results globe

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to EWD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 5.37%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.018.   Maximum drawdown: -34.61% on 12 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 199.95%. Time in market: 959 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1159.41 on 18 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Sweden

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 6 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.33% * 8.23%) + (0% * 0%) - (16.67% * 8.94%) = 5.37%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 April 2025   35   smart_toy0.978   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 37.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 October 2022   55   smart_toy0.987   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 26.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2022   55     52 Week Low $ 29.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022   55   smart_toy0.974   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 32.23 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 May 2022   55   smart_toy0.951   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 32.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 March 2022   55     52 Week Low $ 36.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
28 January 2022     smart_toy0.953   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 40.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for iShares MSCI Sweden (exchange: ARCX symbol: EWD) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 13:40. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 26 Mar 2026.