Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to XOM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.68%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.269.   Maximum drawdown: -56.79% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 117.44%. Time in market: 7788 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1409.72 on 02 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Exxon Mobil

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 40 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.75%) + (10.0% * 1.26%) - (15.00% * 20.03%) = 3.68%.
Wins: 30 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 6

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Exxon Mobil Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 June 2026      local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 136.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 147.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 149.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
13 May 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 109.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (94)    local_gas_stationHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 101.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 106.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 November 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (70)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 102.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 October 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 May 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 103.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 April 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 116.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 March 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 105.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 December 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 104.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 October 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)    local_gas_stationHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 90.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 August 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 97.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 July 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 95.69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (90)    local_gas_stationHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 88.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 87.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)    local_gas_stationLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 78.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (70)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 61.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 63.03 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 August 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 55.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 July 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 57.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (50)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 56.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 57.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 February 2021   smart_toyLOW (77)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 45.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 November 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 38.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2020   smart_toyLOW (79)     Mega Dump Lite $ 33.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 September 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Mega Dump Lite $ 37.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 July 2020   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 42.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Mega Dump Lite $ 48.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 May 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 42.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 42.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (92)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 43.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (66)     Mega Dump Lite $ 60.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (62)     Mega Dump Lite $ 65.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 September 2019   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 68.85 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 67.54 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 June 2019   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 70.90 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (53)     Mega Dump Lite $ 72.03 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 January 2019   smart_toyLOW (79)     Mega Dump Lite $ 66.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
27 December 2018   smart_toyHIGH (96)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 63.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (53)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 72.60 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 March 2018   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 66.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (71)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 68.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 74.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 August 2016   smart_toyLOW (65)     Mega Dump Lite $ 73.35 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Exxon Mobil Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: XOM) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 07:45. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 30 Jun 2026.