Walmart Inc (WMT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Gap Up Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to WMT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.74%. Win rate: 89.47%. Sharpe Ratio: -0.925. Maximum drawdown: -17.25% on 17 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 76.09%. Time in market: 1881 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1976.44 on 01 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Walmart

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 19 signal(s) occurring before 30 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (89.47% * 8.51%) + (10.53% * 1.18%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.74%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Walmart Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
07 July 2026 smart_toyLOW (59) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 112.25	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
04 June 2026 smart_toyLOW (63) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 118.82	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
31 March 2026 smart_toyLOW (76) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 123.86	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule
25 February 2026 smart_toyLOW (60) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 126.18	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
29 August 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (83) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 96.54	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (87) emoji_food_beverageHIGH	Mega Dump Lite	$ 99.14	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
01 April 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (81) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 88.18	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
26 February 2025 smart_toyLOW (72) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 96.95	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2023 smart_toyLOW (68)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 52.19	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
24 November 2023 smart_toyLOW (71)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 51.50	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
29 July 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (86) sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 43.40	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
27 June 2022 smart_toyHIGH (90) sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 41.32	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2022 smart_toyHIGH (91)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 40.89	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2021 smart_toyLOW (64)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 46.36	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
08 April 2021 smart_toyLOW (60)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 46.69	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
08 March 2021 smart_toyLOW (59)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 42.87	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
20 October 2020 smart_toyLOW (63)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 48.00	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
16 September 2020 smart_toyLOW (77)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 45.78	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
03 April 2020 smart_toyHIGH (91)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 39.27	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
03 March 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (86)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 37.83	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
28 December 2018 smart_toyHIGH (95) sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 29.82	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
26 November 2018 smart_toyMEDIUM (84)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 30.73	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2018 smart_toyLOW (70)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 28.11	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
09 February 2018 smart_toyLOW (67)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 31.62	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
19 May 2016 smart_toyMEDIUM (81)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 20.88	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 November 2015 smart_toyLOW (49)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 17.81	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
22 October 2015 smart_toyMEDIUM (80)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 17.51	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for Walmart Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: WMT) was last updated 08 Jul 2026 04:24. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 07 Jul 2026.