Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to WD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 4.46%.   Win rate: 79.31%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.121.   Maximum drawdown: -61.57% on 06 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 89.81%. Time in market: 5546 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2041.35 on 23 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Walker & Dunlop

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 29 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (79.31% * 9.02%) + (10.34% * 2.72%) - (10.34% * 28.77%) = 4.46%.
Wins: 23 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Walker & Dunlop Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 March 2026   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.982 Gap Down $ 43.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 November 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.399 Gap Down $ 67.84 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.928 Gap Down $ 73.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
03 April 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.966 Gap Down $ 81.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
18 December 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.727 Gap Down $ 102.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 July 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.617 Gap Down $ 96.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.524 Gap Down $ 96.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.586 Gap Down $ 104.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
23 June 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.82 Gap Down $ 75.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 April 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.605 Gap Down $ 70.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.587 Gap Down $ 84.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 November 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.717 Gap Down $ 87.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.837 Gap Down $ 98.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.957 Gap Down $ 103.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
05 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.874 Gap Down $ 112.77 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.892 Gap Down $ 138.22 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 November 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.679 Gap Down $ 147.34 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 May 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.618 Gap Down $ 104.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.587 Gap Down $ 89.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.764 Gap Down $ 64.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.367 Gap Down $ 50.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 August 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.826 Gap Down $ 60.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.981 Gap Down $ 42.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.591 Gap Down $ 70.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 September 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.826 Gap Down $ 52.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.687 Gap Down $ 44.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.771 Gap Down $ 45.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 August 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.524 Gap Down $ 55.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 June 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.8 Gap Down $ 54.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 November 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.804 Gap Down $ 47.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 August 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.7 Gap Down $ 44.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.519 Gap Down $ 47.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 March 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.652 Gap Down $ 39.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 June 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.363 Gap Down $ 22.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 February 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.99 Gap Down $ 20.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 January 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.947 Gap Down $ 26.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Walker & Dunlop Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: WD) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 07 May 2026.