Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to VMC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.47%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 5.584.   Maximum drawdown: -24.34% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 91.18%. Time in market: 699 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1372.98 on 11 August 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Vulcan Materials

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.47%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.47%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Vulcan Materials Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 March 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.924 52 Week Low $ 226.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.881 52 Week Low $ 152.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 May 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.931 52 Week Low $ 163.64 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
12 March 2020   HIGH     smart_toy0.998 52 Week Low $ 108.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 October 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.696 52 Week Low $ 97.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 September 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.412 52 Week Low $ 105.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 August 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.699 52 Week Low $ 109.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.58 52 Week Low $ 109.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Vulcan Materials Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: VMC) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 06:50. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 Apr 2026.