Universal Corp (UVV) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to UVV's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 10.53%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 2.628.   Maximum drawdown: -17.34% on 06 February 2018.
Mean CAGR: 157.4%. Time in market: 686 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1631.07 on 06 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Universal

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 10 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 10.53%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 10.53%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Universal Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
12 August 2026 Super Oversold (26) 89 59 100 81 73 83 schedule schedule schedule
11 August 2026 Super Oversold (26) 89 65 100 81 73 86 schedule schedule schedule
10 August 2026 Gap Down 60 73 100 81 73 72 schedule schedule schedule
10 August 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 59 73 100 81 73 71 schedule schedule schedule
10 August 2026 52 Week Low 69 73 100 81 73 78 schedule schedule schedule
14 July 2026 26 Week Low 63 70 100 80 76 72 schedule schedule schedule
14 July 2026 50 Day Low 49 70 100 80 76 63 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 77 84 100 81 76 85 schedule schedule schedule
29 May 2026 26 Week Low 71 83 100 81 76 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 May 2026 50 Day Low 59 83 100 81 76 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 August 2026 Super Oversold (26) $ 44.84 89 59 100 81 73 83 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 August 2026 Super Oversold (26) $ 46.81 89 65 100 81 73 86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 October 2023 Super Oversold (26) $ 45.44 82 88 96 52 85 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 September 2023 Super Oversold (26) $ 46.20 88 91 96 54 88 90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2022 Super Oversold (26) $ 46.58 88 89 88 55 66 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2020 Super Oversold (MD) $ 40.41 80 82 100 32 74 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2020 Super Oversold (52) $ 37.99 99 97 100 32 67 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020 Super Oversold (GD) $ 40.07 98 97 100 35 67 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 March 2020 Super Oversold (26) $ 43.69 98 95 100 35 67 94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
01 February 2018 Super Oversold (26) $ 41.99 89 70 100 99 100 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 January 2018 Super Oversold (26) $ 43.52 92 57 100 98 100 85 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2017 Super Oversold (26) $ 48.97 77 45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Universal Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: UVV) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.