Universal Corp (UVV) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to UVV's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -2.29%.   Win rate: 40.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.954.   Maximum drawdown: -38.78% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 46.25%. Time in market: 1971 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $715.37 on 22 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Universal

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 31 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (40.0% * 7.96%) + (40.0% * 0.80%) - (20.0% * 28.96%) = -2.29%.
Wins: 2 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 1

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Universal Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
14 July 2026 50 Day Low 49 70 100 80 76 63 schedule schedule schedule
14 July 2026 26 Week Low 63 70 100 80 76 72 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 77 84 100 81 76 85 schedule schedule schedule
29 May 2026 26 Week Low 71 83 100 81 76 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 May 2026 50 Day Low 59 83 100 81 76 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
28 May 2026 Gap Down 65 75 100 81 76 75 schedule schedule schedule
20 March 2026 50 Day Low 76 80 100 79 78 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 March 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 70 79 100 79 78 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
17 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite 58 73 100 79 78 70 schedule schedule schedule
13 February 2026 Mega Dump Lite 54 50 100 82 81 60 schedule schedule schedule

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
02 June 2023 Gap Up $ 52.71 69 76 96 60 88 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2022 Gap Up $ 54.48 93 93 88 57 67 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 November 2020 Gap Up $ 43.94 83 87 100 41 80 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2019 Gap Up $ 54.04 76 79 100 90 94 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 November 2018 Gap Up $ 61.63 67 90 100 85 95 81 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Universal Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: UVV) was last updated 10 Aug 2026 07:55. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 07 Aug 2026.