Universal Corp (UVV) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to UVV's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -2.29%.   Win rate: 40.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.954.   Maximum drawdown: -38.78% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 46.25%. Time in market: 1971 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $715.37 on 22 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Universal

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (40.0% * 7.96%) + (40.0% * 0.80%) - (20.0% * 28.96%) = -2.29%.
Wins: 2 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 1

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Universal Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
14 July 2026 26 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (63)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
14 July 2026 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (49)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (77)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
29 May 2026 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (59)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 May 2026 26 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (71)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
28 May 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (65)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
20 March 2026 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (76)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 March 2026 Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (70)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
17 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (58)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
13 February 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (54)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
02 June 2023   smart_toyLOW (69)     Gap Up $ 52.71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2022   smart_toyHIGH (93)     Gap Up $ 54.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 November 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Gap Up $ 43.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (76)     Gap Up $ 54.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 November 2018   smart_toyLOW (67)     Gap Up $ 61.63 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Universal Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: UVV) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 07:54. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 24 Jul 2026.