Universal Corp (UVV) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to UVV's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.71%.   Win rate: 88.24%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.587.   Maximum drawdown: -34.33% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 97.31%. Time in market: 5003 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2179.16 on 14 March 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Universal

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 34 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (88.24% * 9.04%) + (8.82% * 3.71%) - (2.94% * 20.15%) = 7.71%.
Wins: 30 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Universal Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
14 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (49)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 50.65 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (59)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 50.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
20 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (76)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 51.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
10 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (54)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 51.56 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
28 October 2025   smart_toyLOW (57)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 51.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
15 July 2025   smart_toyLOW (53)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 54.96 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
11 April 2025   smart_toyLOW (79)    emoji_food_beverageHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 52.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 January 2025   smart_toyLOW (54)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 49.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 October 2024   smart_toyLOW (62)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 50.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2024   smart_toyLOW (59)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 46.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2024   smart_toyLOW (46)     50 Day Low $ 54.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 October 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     50 Day Low $ 46.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (72)     50 Day Low $ 47.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 July 2023   smart_toyLOW (45)     50 Day Low $ 49.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (72)     50 Day Low $ 50.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2023   smart_toyLOW (75)     50 Day Low $ 51.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 September 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     50 Day Low $ 49.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 August 2022   smart_toyLOW (63)     50 Day Low $ 52.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
14 June 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 56.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
30 November 2021   smart_toyLOW (70)     50 Day Low $ 46.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2021   smart_toyLOW (54)     50 Day Low $ 47.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 September 2021   smart_toyLOW (58)     50 Day Low $ 48.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 July 2021   smart_toyLOW (55)     50 Day Low $ 51.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2021   smart_toyLOW (65)     50 Day Low $ 56.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 October 2020   smart_toyLOW (60)     50 Day Low $ 41.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 July 2020   smart_toyLOW (78)     50 Day Low $ 39.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (97)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 37.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (49)     50 Day Low $ 49.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (79)     50 Day Low $ 50.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (78)     50 Day Low $ 47.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 April 2019   smart_toyLOW (59)     50 Day Low $ 50.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 January 2019   smart_toyHIGH (94)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 48.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
28 November 2018   smart_toyLOW (64)     50 Day Low $ 57.45 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 August 2018   smart_toyLOW (53)     50 Day Low $ 51.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 January 2018   smart_toyLOW (52)     50 Day Low $ 42.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 December 2017   smart_toyLOW (73)     50 Day Low $ 45.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 November 2017   smart_toyLOW (71)     50 Day Low $ 47.48 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 August 2017   smart_toyLOW (65)     50 Day Low $ 53.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 June 2017   smart_toyLOW (62)     50 Day Low $ 55.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 May 2017   smart_toyLOW (52)     50 Day Low $ 56.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2016   smart_toyLOW (72)     50 Day Low $ 46.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (54)     50 Day Low $ 46.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 January 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     50 Day Low $ 42.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Universal Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: UVV) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 15 Jul 2026.