U.S. Physical Therapy Inc (USPH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to USPH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.53%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 6.981.   Maximum drawdown: -49.84% on 19 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 45.99%. Time in market: 643 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1279.30 on 20 January 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for U.S. Physical Therapy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 4 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.53%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.53%.
Wins: 4 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

U.S. Physical Therapy Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
07 July 2026 Collapsed Bubble 76 74 93 80 62 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 76 61 96 80 64 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2026 Gap Down 44 51 96 80 64 54 schedule schedule schedule
12 June 2026 Gap Up 39 58 96 80 64 53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 39 66 96 80 64 55 schedule schedule schedule
08 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 72 66 96 80 64 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2026 Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) 86 89 96 78 64 92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2026 Mega Dump 77 85 96 78 64 86 schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2026 Rate of Change 65 85 96 78 64 78 schedule schedule schedule
11 May 2026 Simple Mean Reversion 96 86 96 78 64 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 May 2026 52 Week Low $ 63.20 43 80 96 78 64 61 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 March 2025 52 Week Low $ 76.85 44 84 100 59 74 61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2024 52 Week Low $ 78.61 46 76 100 50 75 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2022 52 Week Low $ 76.52 93 93 100 56 66 95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2022 52 Week Low $ 85.18 60 81 100 56 68 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 November 2021  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 102.57 59 92 100 63 82 74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2020  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 102.10 89 83 100 64 79 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for U.S. Physical Therapy Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: USPH) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.