Unitedhealth Group Inc (UNH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to UNH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.78%. Win rate: 90.0%. Sharpe Ratio: 1.138. Maximum drawdown: -29.42% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 169.56%. Time in market: 955 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1496.60 on 15 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Unitedhealth Group

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 10 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.0% * 8.49%) + (10.0% * 1.37%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.78%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Unitedhealth Group Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Scores						Performance
		Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%
17 July 2026	Gap Up	37	65	100	91	81	53	schedule	schedule	schedule
23 June 2026	Double Seven	56	54	100	91	81	63	schedule	schedule	schedule
02 June 2026	Collapsed Bubble	68	82	100	91	81	80	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 May 2026	Gap Down	29	79	100	91	81	50	schedule	schedule	schedule
21 May 2026	Double Seven	43	81	100	91	81	62	schedule	schedule	schedule
19 May 2026	Collapsed Bubble	62	85	100	88	81	77	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 May 2026	Collapsed Bubble	65	76	100	88	81	76	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 April 2026	Gap Up	22	75	100	86	81	42	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2026	Collapsed Bubble	46	68	100	86	81	60	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2026	Gap Up	34	84	100	87	81	55	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date	Buy Signal	Price	Scores						Performance (mouseover for details)
			Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
17 July 2026	Gap Up	$ 426.40	37	65	100	91	81	53	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 April 2026	Gap Up	$ 352.20	22	75	100	86	81	42	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2026	Gap Up	$ 308.99	34	84	100	87	81	55	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2025	Gap Up	$ 359.77	85	70	100	89	88	86	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
18 August 2025	Gap Up	$ 310.83	71	63	100	80	83	75	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 May 2025	Gap Up	$ 321.25	79	62	100	82	85	79	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
09 April 2025	Gap Up	$ 569.32	76	94	100	80	86	87	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
07 November 2024	Gap Up	$ 602.07	50	84	100	79	89	67	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 April 2024	Gap Up	$ 478.80	47	80	100	78	90	64	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
18 July 2022	Gap Up	$ 525.18	85	89	100	77	77	91	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
15 October 2021	Gap Up	$ 425.06	49	93	100	77	86	68	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
10 November 2020	Gap Up	$ 351.59	71	84	100	87	97	82	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
05 November 2020	Gap Up	$ 356.24	50	88	100	87	97	68	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
08 April 2020	Gap Up	$ 257.76	83	95	100	87	99	92	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020	Gap Up	$ 253.92	84	96	100	87	99	93	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020	Gap Up	$ 234.48	86	97	100	87	98	95	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 March 2020	Gap Up	$ 281.16	62	80	100	82	96	75	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2019	Gap Up	$ 234.80	60	91	100	81	96	75	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

The data for Unitedhealth Group Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: UNH) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.