Under Armour Inc (UA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to UA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.67%.   Win rate: 95.12%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.573.   Maximum drawdown: -60.68% on 27 September 2023.
Mean CAGR: 170.32%. Time in market: 4372 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1284.23 on 08 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Under Armour

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 41 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.12% * 9.10%) + (0% * 0%) - (4.88% * 40.77%) = 6.67%.
Wins: 39 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Under Armour Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.902   Super Oversold (GD) $ 5.01 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.792   Super Oversold (GD) $ 5.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
17 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.944   Super Oversold (26) $ 4.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.768   Super Oversold (26) $ 4.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.768   Super Oversold (MD) $ 4.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.812   Super Oversold (26) $ 4.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.531   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 4.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.531   Super Oversold (MD) $ 4.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 August 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.89   Super Oversold (52) $ 4.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.871   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 5.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.861   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 5.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.864   Super Oversold (GD) $ 6.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 December 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.526   Super Oversold (GD) $ 7.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 April 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.662   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 6.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 August 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.69   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 6.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.822   Super Oversold (MD) $ 8.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 October 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.982   Super Oversold (MD) $ 6.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.974   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 6.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH     FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 6.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.947   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 6.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 June 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.986   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 7.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH     FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 8.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.988   Super Oversold (MD) $ 8.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.987   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 8.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.99   Super Oversold (MD) $ 8.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.981   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 9.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
06 May 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH     FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 10.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
06 May 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.878   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 10.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
23 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.604   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 14.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
14 February 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.825   Super Oversold (26) $ 15.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 May 2020   HIGH     FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 7.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.928   Super Oversold (MD) $ 7.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.926   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 7.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.95   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 7.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.845   Super Oversold (MD) $ 11.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.741   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 11.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
25 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.686   Super Oversold (26) $ 13.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.796   Super Oversold (26) $ 14.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 November 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.745   Super Oversold (MD) $ 15.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.678   Super Oversold (GD) $ 16.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
15 August 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.511   Super Oversold (26) $ 16.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 August 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.756   Super Oversold (MD) $ 17.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 December 2018  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.852   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (DB) $ 15.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 November 2017   HIGH   smart_toy0.874   Super Oversold (52) $ 11.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 November 2017   HIGH     Super Oversold (26) $ 11.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 November 2017   HIGH   smart_toy0.87   Super Oversold (52) $ 11.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2017   MEDIUM     Super Oversold (26) $ 12.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.75   Super Oversold (52) $ 12.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.749   Super Oversold (26) $ 15.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.399   Super Oversold (MD) $ 17.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.454   Super Oversold (26) $ 17.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.899   Super Oversold (MD) $ 26.30 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 November 2016   LOW     Super Oversold (RoC) $ 23.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.932   Super Oversold (MD) $ 23.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Under Armour Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: UA) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 May 2026.