Under Armour Inc (UA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to UA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 4.14%.   Win rate: 91.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.43.   Maximum drawdown: -60.68% on 27 September 2023.
Mean CAGR: 138.08%. Time in market: 1971 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $876.45 on 17 October 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Under Armour

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (91.67% * 8.80%) + (0% * 0%) - (8.33% * 47.16%) = 4.14%.
Wins: 11 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Under Armour Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
18 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.897   52 Week Low $ 4.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.816   52 Week Low $ 4.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.531   52 Week Low $ 4.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.9   52 Week Low $ 4.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 March 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.785   52 Week Low $ 6.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.881   52 Week Low $ 6.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 October 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.982   FIRE SALE 52 Week Low $ 6.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 September 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.832   52 Week Low $ 7.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.938   FIRE SALE 52 Week Low $ 8.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.878   FIRE SALE 52 Week Low $ 10.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
14 February 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.825   52 Week Low $ 15.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 May 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.925   FIRE SALE 52 Week Low $ 6.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.929   FIRE SALE 52 Week Low $ 8.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 February 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.695   52 Week Low $ 15.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 October 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.527   52 Week Low $ 15.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.831   52 Week Low $ 15.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 July 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.704   52 Week Low $ 17.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Under Armour Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: UA) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 May 2026.