Travelers Companies Inc (TRV) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to TRV's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Expectancy: 5.25%.   Win rate: 95.24%.   Sharpe Ratio: -6.629.   Maximum drawdown: 41.01% on 19 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 103.52%. Time in market: 2305 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1903.94 on 03 January 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Travelers Companies

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 25 February 2024 for a 5% profit target: (95.24% * 5.49%) + (4.76% * 0.44%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.25%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Travelers Companies Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
16 January 2026 bubble_chart $ 269.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
16 October 2025 bubble_chart $ 257.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2025 bubble_chart $ 256.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2025 bubble_chart $ 235.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2025 bubble_chart $ 235.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2024 bubble_chart $ 205.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 April 2024 bubble_chart $ 206.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2023 bubble_chart $ 157.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 August 2023 bubble_chart $ 164.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2023 bubble_chart $ 167.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2023 bubble_chart $ 181.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2022 bubble_chart $ 155.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2022 bubble_chart $ 161.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 May 2022 bubble_chart $ 168.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 November 2021 $ 148.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 June 2021 bubble_chart $ 145.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 September 2020 bubble_chart $ 109.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2020 bubble_chart $ 116.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2020 bubble_chart $ 131.71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 October 2019 bubble_chart $ 141.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 August 2019 bubble_chart $ 141.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 December 2018 $ 116.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2018 $ 121.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 June 2018 $ 118.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
24 April 2018 $ 126.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 August 2017 $ 115.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 October 2016 $ 102.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 September 2016 $ 105.82 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Travelers Companies Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: TRV) was last updated 04 Mar 2026 07:50. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 03 Mar 2026.