Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (TR) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to TR's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.63%.   Win rate: 85.71%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.128.   Maximum drawdown: -27.87% on 13 August 2024.
Mean CAGR: 80.2%. Time in market: 5175 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2499.47 on 08 May 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Tootsie Roll Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 28 signal(s) occurring before 30 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 9.87%) + (7.14% * 0.22%) - (7.14% * 11.82%) = 7.63%.
Wins: 24 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Tootsie Roll Industries Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (61)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 38.73 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 June 2026      factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 38.17 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 December 2025      factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 37.59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
03 November 2025      factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 36.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 October 2024       Mega Dump Lite $ 30.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 September 2024       Mega Dump Lite $ 32.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 August 2024       Mega Dump Lite $ 28.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 July 2024       Mega Dump Lite $ 29.79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 September 2023       Mega Dump Lite $ 30.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 August 2023       Mega Dump Lite $ 33.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 July 2023       Mega Dump Lite $ 33.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 June 2023       Mega Dump Lite $ 38.69 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 May 2023       Mega Dump Lite $ 38.46 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 June 2022       Mega Dump Lite $ 32.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2022       Mega Dump Lite $ 32.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 February 2022       Mega Dump Lite $ 33.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2022       Mega Dump Lite $ 36.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 October 2021       Mega Dump Lite $ 31.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2021       Mega Dump Lite $ 31.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2021       Mega Dump Lite $ 34.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 February 2021       Mega Dump Lite $ 31.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
06 October 2020       Mega Dump Lite $ 31.31 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 September 2020       Mega Dump Lite $ 31.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 August 2020       Mega Dump Lite $ 31.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 June 2020       Mega Dump Lite $ 33.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 May 2020       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 34.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2020       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 37.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 March 2020       Mega Dump Lite $ 33.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 November 2019       Mega Dump Lite $ 34.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 October 2019       Mega Dump Lite $ 34.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 January 2019       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 31.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 July 2018       Mega Dump Lite $ 29.42 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2018       Mega Dump Lite $ 29.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2018       Mega Dump Lite $ 30.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 May 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 34.21 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 October 2016       Mega Dump Lite $ 32.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: TR) was last updated 08 Jul 2026 04:24. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 07 Jul 2026.