Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (TR) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to TR's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.58%.   Win rate: 80.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.016.   Maximum drawdown: -17.45% on 03 May 2018.
Mean CAGR: 84.97%. Time in market: 1578 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1488.45 on 26 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Tootsie Roll Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 10 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.0% * 10.02%) + (20.0% * 2.83%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.58%.
Wins: 8 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Tootsie Roll Industries Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
23 July 2026 Gap Down 54 59 86 76 72 63 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 61 74 86 75 73 72 schedule schedule schedule
18 June 2026 50 Day Low 71 64 86 75 73 75 schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026 Gap Down 49 52 86 75 73 57 schedule schedule schedule
12 June 2026 Double Seven 49 67 86 75 73 62 schedule schedule schedule
04 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 64 81 85 74 72 75 schedule schedule schedule
26 May 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 61 77 85 74 72 72 schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026 50 Day Low 44 85 85 74 72 63 schedule schedule schedule
11 May 2026 Double Seven 52 85 85 74 72 68 schedule schedule schedule
11 May 2026 Gap Down 47 85 85 74 72 65 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 August 2024 52 Week Low $ 28.20 76 70 100 34 85 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 May 2024 52 Week Low $ 29.16 61 60 100 64 88 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 September 2023 52 Week Low $ 30.06 84 82 100 46 90 84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
16 August 2023 52 Week Low $ 33.04 69 56 100 57 91 68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 September 2020 52 Week Low $ 30.52 70 91 100 59 85 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2020 52 Week Low $ 30.97 73 82 100 63 83 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 31.55 98 97 100 81 88 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2020 52 Week Low $ 33.15 76 64 100 81 93 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 April 2018 52 Week Low $ 28.21 89 53 100 93 100 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 March 2018 52 Week Low $ 30.38 72 87 100 96 100 84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 February 2018 52 Week Low $ 32.90 56 79 100 96 100 71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: TR) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.