Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT (TLK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to TLK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.14%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 10.209.   Maximum drawdown: -17.74% on 19 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 194.33%. Time in market: 75 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1187.64 on 28 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Telkom Indonesia

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 3 signal(s) occurring before 06 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.14%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.14%.
Wins: 3 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Telkom Indonesia Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Simple Mean Reversion Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Simple Mean Reversion entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 July 2026   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)    computerLOW   Simple Mean Reversion $ 14.00 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026   smart_toyHIGH (97)    computerLOW   Simple Mean Reversion $ 14.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
30 May 2024   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     Simple Mean Reversion $ 17.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
28 April 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Simple Mean Reversion $ 20.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (100)     Simple Mean Reversion $ 20.21 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT (exchange: XNYS symbol: TLK) was last updated 14 Jul 2026 08:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 13 Jul 2026.