Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT (TLK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to TLK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.87%.   Win rate: 77.78%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.797.   Maximum drawdown: -38.70% on 19 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 64.82%. Time in market: 1714 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1424.70 on 24 November 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Telkom Indonesia

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 9 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (77.78% * 8.50%) + (22.22% * 1.16%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.87%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Telkom Indonesia Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
23 July 2026 Gap Down 52 82 78 85 48 70 schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026 Simple Mean Reversion 87 87 78 85 54 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 June 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 65 72 78 85 54 75 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Super Oversold (MD) 72 73 78 85 54 80 schedule schedule schedule
12 June 2026 Gap Up 66 73 78 85 54 76 schedule schedule schedule
11 June 2026 Gap Up 75 76 78 85 54 83 schedule schedule schedule
11 June 2026 Mega Dump 78 76 78 85 54 84 schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion 97 82 78 86 54 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2026 Super Oversold (26) 74 86 78 86 54 85 schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026 Gap Down 39 89 78 86 54 60 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 June 2026 52 Week Low $ 15.82 27 89 78 86 54 50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 March 2025 52 Week Low $ 14.12 89 89 97 72 78 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 February 2025 52 Week Low $ 14.97 76 86 97 72 76 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2024 52 Week Low $ 15.80 73 96 97 71 76 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 November 2024 52 Week Low $ 16.38 51 87 97 77 78 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2024 52 Week Low $ 18.72 33 71 94 79 79 51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 April 2024 52 Week Low $ 21.51 73 89 94 89 81 85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 October 2023 52 Week Low $ 22.87 58 95 95 78 85 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
22 November 2022 52 Week Low $ 25.52 79 95 83 77 64 90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 22.78 72 94 80 69 74 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 September 2018 52 Week Low $ 21.39 81 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 August 2018 52 Week Low $ 23.23 46 84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 May 2018 52 Week Low $ 25.14 69 94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
16 March 2018 52 Week Low $ 27.13 34 90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT (exchange: XNYS symbol: TLK) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.