Target Corp (TGT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
          [ What are these? | Switch to TGT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.10%.   Win rate: 87.76%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.62.   Maximum drawdown: -58.30% on 06 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 128.33%. Time in market: 7330 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1505.09 on 20 April 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Target Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 49 signal(s) occurring before 01 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (87.76% * 9.49%) + (2.04% * 3.06%) - (10.20% * 32.25%) = 5.10%.
Wins: 43 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 5

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Target Corp Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
08 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (67)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 131.21 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (65)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 122.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (70)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 107.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 November 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 85.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2025   smart_toyLOW (79)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 87.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 August 2025   smart_toyLOW (68)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 97.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 July 2025   smart_toyLOW (68)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 101.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (72)    shopping_cartLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 96.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2025   smart_toyHIGH (93)    shopping_cartLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 93.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 March 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    shopping_cartLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 106.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (76)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 129.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (75)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 135.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (78)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 129.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2024   smart_toyLOW (62)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 158.08 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 September 2024   smart_toyLOW (76)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 149.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
09 August 2024   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 134.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (67)     Mega Dump Lite $ 148.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
21 May 2024   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 156.24 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 April 2024   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 167.82 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 October 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 107.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 September 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Mega Dump Lite $ 108.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 July 2023   smart_toyLOW (78)     Mega Dump Lite $ 129.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2023   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 124.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 May 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Mega Dump Lite $ 151.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 March 2023   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Mega Dump Lite $ 160.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 February 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Mega Dump Lite $ 167.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2023   smart_toyHIGH (92)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 150.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 December 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Mega Dump Lite $ 163.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
31 October 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 165.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2022   smart_toyHIGH (93)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 149.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 August 2022   smart_toyHIGH (90)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 165.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
11 July 2022   smart_toyHIGH (94)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 147.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 June 2022   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Mega Dump Lite $ 151.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 May 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     Mega Dump Lite $ 234.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 211.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
07 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (70)     Mega Dump Lite $ 213.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
04 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (70)     Mega Dump Lite $ 233.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)     Mega Dump Lite $ 247.15 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 October 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)     Mega Dump Lite $ 229.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
08 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 176.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 February 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (55)     Mega Dump Lite $ 185.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 November 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)     Mega Dump Lite $ 156.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     Mega Dump Lite $ 109.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Mega Dump Lite $ 93.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Mega Dump Lite $ 102.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     Mega Dump Lite $ 113.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)     Mega Dump Lite $ 106.31 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 80.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 May 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Mega Dump Lite $ 70.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 December 2018   smart_toyHIGH (95)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 62.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2018   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Mega Dump Lite $ 65.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2018   smart_toyLOW (66)     Mega Dump Lite $ 67.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2018   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 66.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (72)     Mega Dump Lite $ 67.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 December 2017   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Mega Dump Lite $ 56.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 November 2017   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 55.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 July 2017   smart_toyLOW (67)     Mega Dump Lite $ 50.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2017   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Mega Dump Lite $ 46.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2017   smart_toyLOW (71)     Mega Dump Lite $ 49.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2017   smart_toyLOW (59)     Mega Dump Lite $ 56.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
25 January 2017   smart_toyLOW (78)     Mega Dump Lite $ 57.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 June 2016   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 60.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 May 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Mega Dump Lite $ 59.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 January 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Mega Dump Lite $ 59.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 November 2015   smart_toyLOW (50)     Mega Dump Lite $ 61.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Target Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: TGT) was last updated 09 Jul 2026 07:25. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 08 Jul 2026.