Target Corp (TGT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to TGT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.06%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.941.   Maximum drawdown: -25.22% on 06 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 94.51%. Time in market: 1243 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1497.44 on 20 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Target Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 9 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.06%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.06%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Target Corp Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
08 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 67 77 83 88 57 79 schedule schedule schedule
29 June 2026 Gap Down 60 60 83 88 57 68 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Double Seven 43 86 89 89 64 63 schedule schedule schedule
20 May 2026 Gap Down 48 89 90 89 64 68 schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite 65 90 93 87 67 81 schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026 Double Seven 35 88 93 87 67 57 schedule schedule schedule
13 April 2026 Gap Down 61 71 93 86 67 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 March 2026 Double Seven 62 69 93 86 67 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2026 Collapsed Bubble 57 77 93 86 72 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2026 Double Seven 52 70 93 87 72 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 November 2025 52 Week Low $ 86.25 59 73 94 88 78 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2025 52 Week Low $ 90.63 70 68 93 78 68 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2025 52 Week Low $ 92.82 89 92 94 82 76 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2025 52 Week Low $ 117.32 86 55 94 82 79 80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 November 2024 52 Week Low $ 124.86 95 88 94 84 81 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 September 2023 52 Week Low $ 110.25 71 89 100 66 92 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 August 2023 52 Week Low $ 123.06 75 73 100 72 93 79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 May 2023 52 Week Low $ 137.82 64 81 100 72 94 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
18 May 2022 52 Week Low $ 162.34 89 85 100 69 87 91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 December 2018 52 Week Low $ 58.91 99 93 100 75 93 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2017 52 Week Low $ 47.19 85 61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 April 2017 52 Week Low $ 47.70 77 52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2017 52 Week Low $ 56.40 59 47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 January 2017 52 Week Low $ 57.58 75 53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Target Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: TGT) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.