Target Corp (TGT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to TGT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 9.06%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.941.   Maximum drawdown: -25.22% on 06 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 94.51%. Time in market: 1243 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1497.44 on 20 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Target Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 9 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.06%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.06%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Target Corp Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 November 2025   25     52 Week Low $ 86.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2025   20     52 Week Low $ 90.63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2025   20     52 Week Low $ 92.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2025   30     52 Week Low $ 117.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 November 2024   45     52 Week Low $ 124.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
25 September 2023   45     52 Week Low $ 110.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 August 2023   45     52 Week Low $ 123.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 May 2023   45     52 Week Low $ 137.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
18 May 2022  bubble_chart   45     52 Week Low $ 162.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 December 2018  bubble_chart   55     52 Week Low $ 58.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2017   15     52 Week Low $ 47.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 April 2017   15     52 Week Low $ 47.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2017   15     52 Week Low $ 56.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 January 2017   15     52 Week Low $ 57.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Target Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: TGT) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 11:23. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 26 Mar 2026.