Stanley Black & Decker Inc (SWK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Buy indicator: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom
Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB Best Buy Signals [ What are these indicators? | Switch to SWK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores help.
Expectancy: -1.48%. Win rate: 76.19%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.3. Maximum drawdown: -61.58% on 03 November 2022.
Mean CAGR: 97.68%. Time in market: 4584 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1208.82 on 30 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Stanley Black & Decker

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (76.19% * 8.67%) + (4.76% * 1.04%) - (19.05% * 42.70%) = -1.48%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Stanley Black & Decker Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
23 February 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.719	Gap Down	$ 89.54	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
20 January 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.59	Gap Down	$ 81.50	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
09 October 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.666	Gap Down	$ 71.04	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
29 July 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.722	Gap Down	$ 68.42	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
21 May 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.944	Gap Down	$ 67.86	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
11 March 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.929	Gap Down	$ 84.56	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	schedule	schedule
29 October 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.621	Gap Down	$ 94.32	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
01 August 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.569	Gap Down	$ 103.50	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
04 June 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.68	Gap Down	$ 83.70	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 April 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.59	Gap Down	$ 93.50	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
13 February 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.87	Gap Down	$ 87.46	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
19 January 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.946	Gap Down	$ 85.18	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
28 November 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.942	Gap Down	$ 80.92	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
19 October 2022 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.992	Gap Down	$ 75.25	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2022 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.946	Gap Down	$ 88.46	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
28 July 2022 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.967	Gap Down	$ 99.19	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
28 April 2022 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.879	Gap Down	$ 127.02	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
07 March 2022 HIGH FIRE SALE smart_toy0.978	Gap Down	$ 156.87	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
19 January 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.761	Gap Down	$ 186.63	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
07 September 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.834	Gap Down	$ 186.30	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
04 January 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.856	Gap Down	$ 169.60	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
28 May 2020 MEDIUM smart_toy0.885	Gap Down	$ 129.42	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020 MEDIUM smart_toy0.989	Gap Down	$ 116.38	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020 HIGH FIRE SALE smart_toy0.799	Gap Down	$ 137.14	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2019 MEDIUM smart_toy0.622	Gap Down	$ 142.82	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
22 January 2019 MEDIUM smart_toy0.897	Gap Down	$ 114.32	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.816	Gap Down	$ 126.76	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
09 October 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.751	Gap Down	$ 132.77	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 June 2016 LOW smart_toy0.886	Gap Down	$ 101.08	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
28 January 2016 LOW smart_toy0.994	Gap Down	$ 83.60	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

The data for Stanley Black & Decker Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: SWK) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 07 May 2026.