Stanley Black & Decker Inc (SWK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to SWK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.15%.   Win rate: 83.93%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.017.   Maximum drawdown: -66.43% on 03 November 2022.
Mean CAGR: 70.83%. Time in market: 9779 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $963.35 on 30 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Stanley Black & Decker

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 56 signal(s) occurring before 01 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.93% * 8.46%) + (8.93% * 0.77%) - (7.14% * 56.22%) = 3.15%.
Wins: 47 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Stanley Black & Decker Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   cards_starLOW    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 78.94 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026   cards_starLOW    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 72.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
09 March 2026   cards_starLOW    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 74.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
03 February 2026   cards_starMEDIUM    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 80.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
02 January 2026   cards_starMEDIUM    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 75.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 October 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 70.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 75.84 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 85.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 108.17 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 96.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
08 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 94.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
16 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 90.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 88.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 February 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 88.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 94.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
29 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 83.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 88.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 94.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 85.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
20 August 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 190.06 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 July 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 200.30 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 June 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 202.76 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 May 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 213.58 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 April 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 201.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 March 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 187.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
05 February 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 177.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 January 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 169.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 185.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 October 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 174.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 September 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 156.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 August 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 158.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 142.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 January 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 163.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 December 2019   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 164.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 November 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 156.35 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 October 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 148.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 September 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 141.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 August 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 133.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 July 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 141.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 May 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 126.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 141.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 February 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 132.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 April 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 145.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 February 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 154.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 January 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 162.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 December 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 159.17 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 November 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 155.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
13 October 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 150.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
11 September 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 139.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 August 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 133.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 July 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 134.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 June 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 130.93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 128.07 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 123.63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 119.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 112.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 December 2016   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 110.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 November 2016   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 113.54 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 October 2016   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 112.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 September 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 111.77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 August 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 114.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 July 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 107.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 105.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 101.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 January 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 88.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 December 2015   LOW     Double Seven $ 99.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 November 2015   LOW     Double Seven $ 95.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Stanley Black & Decker Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: SWK) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 08 Jun 2026.