Stanley Black & Decker Inc (SWK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to SWK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -4.89%.   Win rate: 65.52%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.142.   Maximum drawdown: -64.01% on 03 November 2022.
Mean CAGR: 90.98%. Time in market: 7878 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1359.71 on 16 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Stanley Black & Decker

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 29 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (65.52% * 8.25%) + (10.34% * 0.97%) - (24.14% * 43.07%) = -4.89%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 7

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Stanley Black & Decker Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (49)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 74.29 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 November 2025   smart_toyLOW (79)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 64.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2025   smart_toyLOW (76)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 65.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 March 2025   smart_toyLOW (72)    shopping_cartLOW   sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 79.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 January 2025   smart_toyLOW (68)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 79.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
05 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (49)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 85.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2024   smart_toyLOW (65)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 94.32 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (48)     50 Day Low $ 82.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 May 2024   smart_toyLOW (67)     50 Day Low $ 84.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 February 2024   smart_toyLOW (48)     50 Day Low $ 88.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2023   smart_toyLOW (75)     50 Day Low $ 76.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (63)     50 Day Low $ 87.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (52)     50 Day Low $ 73.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 March 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     50 Day Low $ 78.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (97)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 75.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 August 2022   smart_toyHIGH (93)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 88.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 July 2022   smart_toyHIGH (92)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 99.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 June 2022   smart_toyHIGH (93)     50 Day Low $ 115.26 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 April 2022   smart_toyHIGH (92)     50 Day Low $ 127.02 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 March 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 151.48 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 January 2022   smart_toyLOW (74)     50 Day Low $ 173.96 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 September 2021   smart_toyLOW (52)     50 Day Low $ 182.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 August 2021   smart_toyLOW (42)     50 Day Low $ 192.84 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 June 2021   smart_toyLOW (54)     50 Day Low $ 199.22 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (57)     50 Day Low $ 150.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 August 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     50 Day Low $ 129.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     50 Day Low $ 127.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (62)     50 Day Low $ 127.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 June 2018   smart_toyLOW (58)     50 Day Low $ 132.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 April 2018   smart_toyLOW (54)     50 Day Low $ 143.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (51)     50 Day Low $ 153.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 August 2017   smart_toyLOW (71)     50 Day Low $ 130.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     50 Day Low $ 111.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2016   smart_toyHIGH (92)     50 Day Low $ 97.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 February 2016   smart_toyHIGH (96)     50 Day Low $ 82.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 January 2016   smart_toyLOW (73)     50 Day Low $ 95.43 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Stanley Black & Decker Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: SWK) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 15 Jul 2026.