J.M. Smucker Company (SJM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.
Calculations for J.M. Smucker
Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.
Expectancy calculation for 23 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (73.91% * 8.95%) + (8.70% * 0.40%) - (17.39% * 17.76%) = 3.56%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 4
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.
J.M. Smucker Analysis
Market sector: Consumer Staples.
External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.
These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.
Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date and Score | Buy Signal | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 25 March 2026 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.96 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 96.01 | |||||
| 31 December 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.893 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 98.06 | |||||
| 25 November 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.698 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 100.38 | |||||
| 10 June 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.928 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 99.70 | |||||
| 18 February 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.963 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 100.50 | |||||
| 08 January 2025 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.981 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 106.04 | |||||
| 01 November 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.827 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 113.54 | |||||
| 24 May 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.884 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 110.16 | |||||
| 05 April 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.827 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 117.82 | |||||
| 24 October 2023 HIGH FIRE SALE smart_toy0.95 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 111.30 | |||||
| 22 September 2023 HIGH smart_toy0.965 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 126.24 | |||||
| 17 August 2023 HIGH FIRE SALE smart_toy0.944 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 140.42 | |||||
| 25 May 2023 HIGH FIRE SALE smart_toy0.935 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 143.85 | |||||
| 23 May 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.99 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 124.55 | |||||
| 24 September 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.724 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 119.44 | |||||
| 06 August 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.75 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 128.32 | |||||
| 12 March 2020 HIGH FIRE SALE smart_toy0.998 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 99.04 | |||||
| 12 December 2019 MEDIUM smart_toy0.779 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 101.61 | |||||
| 27 August 2019 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.761 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 102.82 | |||||
| 11 July 2019 MEDIUM smart_toy0.911 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 112.42 | |||||
| 06 December 2018 HIGH FIRE SALE smart_toy0.773 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 97.04 | |||||
| 27 September 2018 HIGH smart_toy0.936 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 97.95 | |||||
| 01 June 2018 HIGH FIRE SALE smart_toy0.877 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 100.57 | |||||
| 30 April 2018 HIGH smart_toy0.803 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 107.75 | |||||
| 06 November 2017 MEDIUM smart_toy0.928 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 93.04 | |||||
| 03 October 2017 MEDIUM smart_toy0.887 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 96.42 | |||||
| 24 August 2017 MEDIUM smart_toy0.937 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 101.24 | |||||
| 19 June 2017 MEDIUM smart_toy0.959 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 113.80 | |||||
| 21 April 2017 MEDIUM smart_toy0.893 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 115.35 | |||||
| 24 October 2016 LOW smart_toy0.901 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 116.85 | |||||
| 20 September 2016 LOW smart_toy0.883 | Williams %R (Weekly) | $ 122.75 | |||||
The data for J.M. Smucker Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: SJM) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 07 May 2026.