Signet Jewelers Ltd (SIG) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to SIG's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.47%.   Win rate: 94.12%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.454.   Maximum drawdown: -82.92% on 03 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 177.75%. Time in market: 5264 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1893.66 on 04 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Signet Jewelers

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 51 signal(s) occurring before 15 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (94.12% * 11.16%) + (0% * 0%) - (5.88% * 34.45%) = 8.47%.
Wins: 48 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Signet Jewelers Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.847   Super Oversold (GD) $ 73.83 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.799   Super Oversold (26) $ 73.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
18 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.472   Super Oversold (26) $ 74.92 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 March 2025   HIGH     Super Oversold (52) $ 47.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2025   HIGH     Super Oversold (26) $ 47.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.833   Super Oversold (MD) $ 47.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2025   HIGH     Super Oversold (RoC) $ 53.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2025   HIGH     Super Oversold (26) $ 53.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.968   Super Oversold (MD) $ 53.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 January 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.965   Super Oversold (GD) $ 60.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.985   Super Oversold (MD) $ 74.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.729   Super Oversold (GD) $ 75.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 August 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.707   Super Oversold (26) $ 78.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 July 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.843   Super Oversold (26) $ 82.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.833   Super Oversold (MD) $ 56.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 June 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.966   Super Oversold (MD) $ 53.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2022   HIGH     FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 56.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.984   Super Oversold (MD) $ 56.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.984   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 61.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH     FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 64.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 March 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.97   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 64.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.773   Super Oversold (MD) $ 79.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
14 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.981   Super Oversold (MD) $ 82.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
05 August 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.97   Super Oversold (MD) $ 61.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.78   Super Oversold (MD) $ 11.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.956   Super Oversold (MD) $ 8.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.978   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 7.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.954   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 6.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.994   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 10.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.994   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 14.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.986   Super Oversold (MD) $ 18.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 March 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.887   Super Oversold (GD) $ 21.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 August 2019   HIGH     Super Oversold (RoC) $ 10.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 August 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.873   Super Oversold (MD) $ 10.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 August 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.898   Super Oversold (52) $ 11.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 August 2019   HIGH     Super Oversold (52) $ 13.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 August 2019   HIGH     Super Oversold (26) $ 13.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 August 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.958   Super Oversold (GD) $ 13.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 August 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.9   Super Oversold (52) $ 14.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 July 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.728   Super Oversold (26) $ 15.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 June 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.93   Super Oversold (GD) $ 15.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.92   Super Oversold (52) $ 17.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.92   Super Oversold (26) $ 17.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 May 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.826   Super Oversold (52) $ 18.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.924   Super Oversold (MD) $ 19.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2019   HIGH     Super Oversold (26) $ 20.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.949   Super Oversold (GD) $ 20.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.884   Super Oversold (MD) $ 24.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 January 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.989   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 22.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 January 2019   HIGH     FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 24.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
17 January 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.992   Super Oversold (MD) $ 24.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.953   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 28.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.76   Super Oversold (26) $ 34.26 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.507   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 36.02 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 April 2018   HIGH     Super Oversold (RoC) $ 31.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.512   Super Oversold (MD) $ 31.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.593   Super Oversold (26) $ 34.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 March 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.593   Super Oversold (26) $ 33.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2018   HIGH     Super Oversold (26) $ 36.29 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.542   Super Oversold (GD) $ 36.29 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.859   Super Oversold (MD) $ 44.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.806   Super Oversold (GD) $ 46.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.693   Super Oversold (26) $ 48.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.601   Super Oversold (26) $ 58.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 February 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.944   Super Oversold (GD) $ 63.19 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Signet Jewelers Ltd (exchange: XNYS symbol: SIG) was last updated 24 May 2026 14:50. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 22 May 2026.