Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to SHW's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.05%.   Win rate: 92.31%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.63.   Maximum drawdown: -30.59% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 117.2%. Time in market: 3143 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2627.26 on 23 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Sherwin-Williams

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.31% * 8.70%) + (7.69% * 0.23%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.05%.
Wins: 24 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Sherwin-Williams Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
29 July 2026 Gap Up 10 69 100 88 68 26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
27 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 47 68 100 87 68 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 July 2026 Gap Down 61 64 100 87 72 70 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Super Oversold (26) 41 77 100 87 71 59 schedule schedule schedule
01 June 2026 Gap Down 38 61 100 87 71 53 schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite 40 81 100 84 70 59 schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026 52 Week Low 27 85 100 85 70 49 schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026 50 Day Low 32 85 100 85 70 53 schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026 26 Week Low 42 85 100 85 70 62 schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 33 85 100 85 70 54 schedule schedule schedule

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 326.14 47 68 100 87 68 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 298.98 40 81 100 84 70 59 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 342.10 38 73 100 84 70 56 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
17 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 322.85 49 77 100 84 73 65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
30 September 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 344.52 65 68 100 69 72 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
23 June 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 338.60 34 64 100 71 73 50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 333.37 87 87 100 67 75 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 March 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 341.22 67 73 100 67 76 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 February 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 356.88 56 79 100 67 76 69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 January 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 335.58 57 83 100 77 77 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
02 December 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 395.82 47 79 100 69 78 63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 October 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 363.23 67 76 100 62 77 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
29 May 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 298.38 50 56 100 84 85 60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 306.32 43 71 100 69 83 58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 March 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 216.81 69 84 100 77 87 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 February 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 222.87 60 69 100 71 73 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 January 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 247.94 71 77 100 71 73 78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 December 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 240.24 81 92 100 70 74 89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 225.91 80 87 100 71 75 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 September 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 206.58 93 94 100 70 75 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 233.92 71 78 100 70 75 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 July 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 255.64 80 85 100 70 76 86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 June 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 223.48 79 91 100 70 75 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 April 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 262.54 45 83 100 71 81 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 250.20 41 74 100 65 84 57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 February 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 290.91 60 81 100 63 83 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 October 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 282.91 56 89 100 74 85 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 March 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 227.74 41 68 100 60 87 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 142.17 86 96 100 73 91 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 179.76 54 75 100 79 84 67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 127.05 94 98 100 74 84 99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 November 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 134.40 57 80 100 70 75 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 October 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 135.13 40 74 100 74 77 57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 May 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 123.27 43 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 128.03 47 86 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 131.64 43 56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 December 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 87.44 73 91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 79.51 82 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Sherwin-Williams Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: SHW) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.