Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to SHW's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.69%.   Win rate: 90.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.517.   Maximum drawdown: -26.86% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 189.93%. Time in market: 741 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1639.04 on 30 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Sherwin-Williams

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 10 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.0% * 8.45%) + (10.0% * 0.81%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.69%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Sherwin-Williams Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
29 July 2026 Gap Up 10 69 100 88 68 26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
27 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 47 68 100 87 68 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 July 2026 Gap Down 61 64 100 87 72 70 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Super Oversold (26) 41 77 100 87 71 59 schedule schedule schedule
01 June 2026 Gap Down 38 61 100 87 71 53 schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite 40 81 100 84 70 59 schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026 50 Day Low 32 85 100 85 70 53 schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 33 85 100 85 70 54 schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026 26 Week Low 42 85 100 85 70 62 schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026 52 Week Low 27 85 100 85 70 49 schedule schedule schedule

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 July 2026 Gap Up $ 347.94 10 69 100 88 68 26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026 Gap Up $ 333.89 33 74 100 84 70 52 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
29 October 2025 Gap Up $ 348.81 56 67 100 83 79 67 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
05 November 2024 Gap Up $ 376.02 48 79 100 62 78 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 July 2024 Gap Up $ 338.09 44 60 100 67 82 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 November 2022 Gap Up $ 237.38 46 85 100 71 76 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
26 October 2022 Gap Up $ 220.16 87 93 100 71 75 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2022 Gap Up $ 276.06 34 93 100 74 82 55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 April 2020 Gap Up $ 176.96 56 73 100 72 89 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020 Gap Up $ 156.08 91 95 100 73 88 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020 Gap Up $ 150.30 82 95 100 69 90 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020 Gap Up $ 142.18 79 97 100 69 85 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 October 2017 Gap Up $ 121.81 53 32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 January 2017 Gap Up $ 98.41 78 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Sherwin-Williams Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: SHW) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.