Shake Shack Inc (SHAK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to SHAK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.94%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.042.   Maximum drawdown: -69.54% on 16 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 152.3%. Time in market: 9493 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3963.10 on 16 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Shake Shack

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 66 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.33% * 10.12%) + (7.58% * 2.23%) - (9.09% * 40.28%) = 4.94%.
Wins: 55 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 6

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Shake Shack Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 June 2026      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 54.70 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 May 2026      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 63.78 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2026      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 92.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
06 March 2026      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 95.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
02 February 2026      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 91.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 December 2025      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 82.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 November 2025      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 87.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 October 2025      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 93.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box schedule
16 September 2025      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 100.00 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 August 2025      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 May 2025  bubble_chart      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 94.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2025  bubble_chart      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 90.61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2025  bubble_chart      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 107.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2025  bubble_chart      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 118.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
24 December 2024  bubble_chart      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 130.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
21 November 2024  bubble_chart      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 121.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 September 2024  bubble_chart      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 104.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2024  bubble_chart      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 July 2024  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 82.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2024  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 91.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 May 2024  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 100.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 April 2024  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 97.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 February 2024  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 79.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 January 2024  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 70.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 November 2023  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 55.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2023  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 56.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 September 2023  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 67.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 August 2023  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 78.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2023       Mega Dump Lite $ 53.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 February 2023       Mega Dump Lite $ 57.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 January 2023       Mega Dump Lite $ 47.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 December 2022       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 49.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 November 2022       Mega Dump Lite $ 47.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 October 2022  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 45.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 August 2022  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 48.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 July 2022  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 50.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2022  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 41.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2022  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 42.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2022  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 65.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 March 2022  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 67.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 February 2022  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 77.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 January 2022  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 70.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 December 2021  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 73.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 November 2021  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 83.79 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 October 2021  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 78.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 August 2021  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 86.60 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 July 2021  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 100.91 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 June 2021  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 94.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
18 May 2021  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 85.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 April 2021  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 117.76 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 March 2021  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 126.53 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 February 2021  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 125.10 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 January 2021  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 86.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 November 2020       Mega Dump Lite $ 70.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 October 2020       Mega Dump Lite $ 66.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2020       Mega Dump Lite $ 68.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 July 2020  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 50.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2020  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 50.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 May 2020  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 54.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2020  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 46.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 March 2020  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 35.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 December 2019  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 58.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 November 2019  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 62.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2019  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 93.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 May 2019       Mega Dump Lite $ 59.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 January 2019  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 48.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 December 2018  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 43.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2018  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 51.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 October 2018  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 54.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
18 September 2018  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 57.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2018  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 57.63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 July 2018  bubble_chart       Mega Dump Lite $ 65.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 March 2018       Mega Dump Lite $ 42.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 February 2018       Mega Dump Lite $ 40.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 September 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 32.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 August 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 32.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 July 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 35.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 April 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 33.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 March 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 32.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 February 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 36.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 January 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 35.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 October 2016       Mega Dump Lite $ 31.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 September 2016       Mega Dump Lite $ 35.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 August 2016       Mega Dump Lite $ 35.79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
29 June 2016       Mega Dump Lite $ 36.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Shake Shack Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: SHAK) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 07:45. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 30 Jun 2026.