Shake Shack Inc (SHAK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to SHAK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.78%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.116.   Maximum drawdown: -64.70% on 16 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 126.84%. Time in market: 3751 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1598.74 on 01 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Shake Shack

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.33% * 10.09%) + (4.17% * 0.59%) - (12.50% * 29.26%) = 4.78%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Shake Shack Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (56)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 52.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
07 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (37)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 70.02 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 March 2026   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 87.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
18 November 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 86.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 October 2025   smart_toyLOW (67)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 91.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
05 September 2025   smart_toyLOW (28)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 101.10 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 August 2025   smart_toyLOW (43)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 114.00 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 79.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 105.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 January 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (54)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 116.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 July 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (37)     50 Day Low $ 85.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 June 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     50 Day Low $ 93.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 September 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (39)     50 Day Low $ 60.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 August 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)     50 Day Low $ 68.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 December 2022   smart_toyHIGH (90)     50 Day Low $ 44.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     50 Day Low $ 43.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     50 Day Low $ 60.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
10 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)     50 Day Low $ 68.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 October 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (46)     50 Day Low $ 75.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 September 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (38)     50 Day Low $ 83.58 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 August 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (49)     50 Day Low $ 89.94 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 April 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     50 Day Low $ 109.18 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 April 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (94)     50 Day Low $ 32.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)     50 Day Low $ 58.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     50 Day Low $ 59.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 October 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (64)     50 Day Low $ 86.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 December 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     50 Day Low $ 45.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 October 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (40)     50 Day Low $ 54.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 August 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)     50 Day Low $ 56.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (55)     50 Day Low $ 39.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 August 2017   smart_toyLOW (58)     50 Day Low $ 31.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 July 2017   smart_toyLOW (39)     50 Day Low $ 34.40 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 March 2017   smart_toyLOW (47)     50 Day Low $ 33.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2016   smart_toyLOW (54)     50 Day Low $ 32.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (31)     50 Day Low $ 34.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Shake Shack Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: SHAK) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 Jul 2026.