Shake Shack Inc (SHAK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to SHAK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.72%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 9.893.   Maximum drawdown: -31.58% on 03 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 238.41%. Time in market: 97 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1589.83 on 27 May 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Shake Shack

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.72%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.72%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Shake Shack Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
27 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 45 70 79 95 30 62 schedule schedule schedule
27 July 2026 Simple Mean Reversion 99 70 79 95 30 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 July 2026 Gap Down 52 67 79 95 37 66 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 83 59 78 96 37 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 45 66 79 96 37 62 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Mega Dump 75 66 79 96 37 81 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion 77 66 79 96 37 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 83 58 79 96 37 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2026 52 Week Low 68 64 78 96 37 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2026 26 Week Low 69 64 78 96 37 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 June 2026 52 Week Low $ 52.76 68 64 78 96 37 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
07 May 2026 52 Week Low $ 70.02 75 81 78 93 37 86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 76.80 97 92 84 83 51 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 May 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 43.32 88 85 100 80 68 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 April 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 60.80 79 70 100 79 67 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
10 January 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 68.68 79 80 100 67 66 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
09 March 2020  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 47.41 59 79 100 79 82 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 August 2017 52 Week Low $ 30.82 58 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Shake Shack Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: SHAK) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.