RLI Corp (RLI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to RLI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.84%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 14.436.   Maximum drawdown: -4.28% on 08 November 2016.
Mean CAGR: 267.87%. Time in market: 79 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1403.23 on 15 March 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for RLI

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 4 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.84%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.84%.
Wins: 4 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

RLI Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
15 July 2026 Gap Down 67 61 100 88 85 72 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 81 61 100 88 85 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 69 53 100 88 85 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 73 69 100 88 85 78 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 68 84 100 88 85 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2026 Collapsed Bubble 57 86 100 85 85 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2026 Rate of Change 81 86 100 85 84 89 schedule schedule schedule
04 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite 75 77 100 85 84 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 April 2026 52 Week Low 69 75 100 85 84 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 April 2026 26 Week Low 68 75 100 85 84 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 April 2026 52 Week Low $ 51.56 69 75 100 85 84 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2026 52 Week Low $ 56.83 80 76 100 84 84 85 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
22 January 2026 52 Week Low $ 57.38 85 57 100 86 89 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
20 October 2025 52 Week Low $ 59.64 86 75 100 71 89 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
16 September 2025 52 Week Low $ 65.42 82 81 100 72 85 86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 July 2025 52 Week Low $ 69.61 78 65 100 71 85 78 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 February 2022 52 Week Low $ 49.81 75 77 100 49 80 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2020 52 Week Low $ 34.75 90 92 100 54 83 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 September 2017 52 Week Low $ 24.04 87 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2016 52 Week Low $ 25.14 80 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for RLI Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: RLI) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.