Roblox Corporation (RBLX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to RBLX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.16%.   Win rate: 84.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.767.   Maximum drawdown: -74.79% on 11 May 2022.
Mean CAGR: 189.51%. Time in market: 3507 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $814.07 on 02 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Roblox

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 25 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.00% * 11.85%) + (0% * 0%) - (16.00% * 42.45%) = 3.16%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Roblox Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
07 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump 89 65 89 93 45 89 schedule schedule schedule
06 August 2026  bubble_chart Rate of Change 86 70 89 93 45 89 schedule schedule schedule
03 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 70 69 89 93 45 79 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) 90 59 89 93 45 86 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (26) 90 61 89 93 45 87 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) 90 59 89 93 45 86 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) 45 59 89 93 45 59 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low 80 59 89 93 45 81 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart 26 Week Low 66 59 89 93 45 73 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 37 59 89 93 45 53 schedule schedule schedule

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (26) $ 37.24 90 61 89 93 45 87 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) $ 37.24 90 59 89 93 45 86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) $ 37.24 90 59 89 93 45 86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (CB) $ 43.76 93 88 89 89 48 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 May 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) $ 43.76 93 88 89 89 48 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 March 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (CB) $ 54.68 87 79 88 89 48 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 March 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (26) $ 55.92 88 82 88 89 48 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 March 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) $ 61.19 87 77 88 89 55 91 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 February 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) $ 63.78 88 58 88 92 62 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
02 February 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (CB) $ 67.25 85 80 88 92 62 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
02 February 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (26) $ 67.25 85 80 88 92 62 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
06 January 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (26) $ 77.60 79 51 88 92 65 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
22 December 2025  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) $ 82.20 78 67 88 91 63 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 November 2025  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) $ 94.92 89 74 89 94 66 91 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 November 2025  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) $ 94.92 89 74 89 94 66 91 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 March 2025  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) $ 57.68 81 62 87 84 53 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 August 2023 Super Oversold (26) $ 28.48 74 74 100 70 85 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2023 Super Oversold (CB) $ 30.95 63 73 100 77 89 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 January 2023 Super Oversold (MD) $ 33.20 92 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 November 2022 Super Oversold (MD) $ 31.07 71 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 November 2022 Super Oversold (MD) $ 32.95 63 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 November 2022 Super Oversold (CB) $ 33.12 79 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) $ 35.04 92 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (CB) $ 35.35 92 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) $ 35.35 92 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 May 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (52) $ 25.88 97 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 May 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) $ 25.88 97 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (52) $ 30.50 94 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (26) $ 33.00 96 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) $ 38.64 90 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 April 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) $ 38.64 90 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 March 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) $ 37.37 98 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (CB) $ 40.82 89 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (26) $ 40.82 89 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 March 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) $ 41.40 92 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 February 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (CB) $ 54.98 77 78 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 February 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) $ 61.48 81 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
27 January 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (26) $ 60.52 83 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 January 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) $ 66.62 82 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 January 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) $ 91.03 82 87 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 January 2022  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) $ 91.03 82 87 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Roblox Corporation (exchange: XNYS symbol: RBLX) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 10 Mar 2021 - 12 Aug 2026.