Roblox Corporation (RBLX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to RBLX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.31%.   Win rate: 86.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.377.   Maximum drawdown: -77.34% on 11 May 2022.
Mean CAGR: 211.03%. Time in market: 1799 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1156.06 on 03 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Roblox

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.67% * 10.06%) + (0% * 0%) - (13.33% * 48.02%) = 2.31%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Roblox Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
07 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump 89 65 89 93 45 89 schedule schedule schedule
06 August 2026  bubble_chart Rate of Change 86 70 89 93 45 89 schedule schedule schedule
03 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 70 69 89 93 45 79 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) 90 59 89 93 45 86 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (26) 90 61 89 93 45 87 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) 90 59 89 93 45 86 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) 45 59 89 93 45 59 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low 80 59 89 93 45 81 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart 26 Week Low 66 59 89 93 45 73 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 37 59 89 93 45 53 schedule schedule schedule

Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 37.29 89 65 89 93 45 89 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 41.84 91 64 89 92 48 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
06 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 43.98 83 78 89 89 48 89 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 February 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 66.92 95 62 88 92 62 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
12 December 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 89.69 98 68 88 91 61 93 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 November 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 106.70 97 70 87 94 64 94 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 February 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 63.02 96 54 87 84 53 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2024 Mega Dump $ 31.24 86 52 80 78 49 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 August 2023 Mega Dump $ 27.12 79 62 100 65 85 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 May 2023 Mega Dump $ 36.21 85 77 100 98 99 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 January 2023 Mega Dump $ 36.48 88 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 December 2022 Mega Dump $ 27.61 79 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 November 2022 Mega Dump $ 35.88 59 90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 34.13 98 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 38.84 87 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
15 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 39.09 97 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 26.28 86 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 24.14 91 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 43.46 95 66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 42.24 70 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 February 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 67.03 88 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 December 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 101.26 91 78 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Roblox Corporation (exchange: XNYS symbol: RBLX) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 10 Mar 2021 - 12 Aug 2026.