Roblox Corporation (RBLX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                                      [ What are these? | Switch to RBLX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 1.90%.   Win rate: 81.48%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.981.   Maximum drawdown: -81.96% on 11 May 2022.
Mean CAGR: 160.51%. Time in market: 4297 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $478.50 on 31 October 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Roblox

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 27 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (81.48% * 10.26%) + (7.41% * 0.66%) - (11.11% * 58.61%) = 1.90%.
Wins: 22 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Roblox Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 June 2026   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 54.45 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Gap Up $ 54.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
09 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (79)     Gap Up $ 71.10 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 November 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Gap Up $ 110.30 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 October 2025   smart_toyLOW (66)     Gap Up $ 136.61 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 September 2025   smart_toyLOW (65)     Gap Up $ 139.76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 August 2025   smart_toyLOW (58)     Gap Up $ 124.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
01 August 2025   smart_toyLOW (79)     Gap Up $ 128.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
02 May 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Gap Up $ 72.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 April 2025   smart_toyLOW (65)     Gap Up $ 61.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (74)     Gap Up $ 51.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2024   smart_toyLOW (49)     Gap Up $ 35.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2024   smart_toyLOW (69)     Gap Up $ 45.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
11 December 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Gap Up $ 40.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 November 2023   smart_toyLOW (69)     Gap Up $ 38.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (79)     Gap Up $ 39.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 March 2023   smart_toyLOW (79)     Gap Up $ 42.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
13 March 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Gap Up $ 40.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
16 February 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Gap Up $ 43.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Gap Up $ 36.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 January 2023   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Gap Up $ 35.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 January 2023   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 36.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2022   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 32.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2022   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 35.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 November 2022   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 35.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2022   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 39.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 45.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Gap Up $ 43.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 May 2022   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Gap Up $ 32.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 February 2022   smart_toyLOW (55)     Gap Up $ 67.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 January 2022   smart_toyLOW (60)     Gap Up $ 60.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
08 December 2021   smart_toyLOW (58)     Gap Up $ 120.41 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 November 2021   smart_toyLOW (78)     Gap Up $ 127.25 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 November 2021   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Gap Up $ 117.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 November 2021   smart_toyLOW (73)     Gap Up $ 99.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 June 2021   smart_toyLOW (25)     Gap Up $ 96.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2021   smart_toyLOW (19)     Gap Up $ 71.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2021   smart_toyLOW (21)     Gap Up $ 71.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Roblox Corporation (exchange: XNYS symbol: RBLX) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 07:45. Data for this stock is available from 10 Mar 2021 - 30 Jun 2026.