Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to PLTR's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.07%. Win rate: 77.78%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.002. Maximum drawdown: -75.95% on 28 December 2022.
Mean CAGR: 145.23%. Time in market: 2771 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2064.54 on 05 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Palantir Technologies

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 18 signal(s) occurring before 22 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (77.78% * 9.92%) + (16.67% * 4.33%) - (5.56% * 24.58%) = 7.07%.
Wins: 14 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Palantir Technologies Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Score	Performance
			5%	6%	7.5%
22 July 2026 bubble_chart	Gap Down	smart_toyLOW (49) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
30 June 2026 bubble_chart	Mega Dump Lite	smart_toyLOW (67) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
29 June 2026 bubble_chart	Mega Dump	smart_toyHIGH (91) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
25 June 2026 bubble_chart	Super Oversold (26)	smart_toyLOW (71) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
24 June 2026 bubble_chart	Super Oversold (GD)	smart_toyLOW (72) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
23 June 2026 bubble_chart	Super Oversold (26)	smart_toyLOW (68) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 June 2026 bubble_chart	Williams %R (Weekly)	smart_toyLOW (34) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 June 2026 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	smart_toyLOW (69) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 June 2026 bubble_chart	26 Week Low	smart_toyLOW (59) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 June 2026 bubble_chart	50 Day Low	smart_toyLOW (36) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
22 July 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (49) computerLOW	Gap Down	$ 128.40	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
23 April 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (33) computerLOW	Gap Down	$ 145.64	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
28 January 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (63) computerLOW	Gap Down	$ 160.88	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 December 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (70) computerLOW	Gap Down	$ 182.50	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
06 November 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (78) computerLOW	Gap Down	$ 181.52	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
03 October 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (77) computerLOW	Gap Down	$ 179.74	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
19 August 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (59) computerLOW	Gap Down	$ 164.56	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 June 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (59) computerLOW	Gap Down	$ 137.80	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 May 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (72) computerHIGH	Gap Down	$ 110.78	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (74) computerLOW	Gap Down	$ 94.28	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 February 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (61)	Gap Down	$ 117.96	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
09 December 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (55)	Gap Down	$ 76.52	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (82)	Gap Down	$ 42.18	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 July 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (55)	Gap Down	$ 27.52	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 June 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (41)	Gap Down	$ 24.28	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 March 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (47)	Gap Down	$ 23.59	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (68)	Gap Down	$ 23.77	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
21 November 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (61)	Gap Down	$ 20.46	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (58)	Gap Down	$ 17.26	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2023 smart_toyMEDIUM (82)	Gap Down	$ 7.88	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 January 2023 smart_toyMEDIUM (81)	Gap Down	$ 6.43	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 December 2022 smart_toyLOW (77)	Gap Down	$ 7.09	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 August 2022 smart_toyLOW (77)	Gap Down	$ 8.18	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
22 July 2022 smart_toyLOW (79)	Gap Down	$ 10.10	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2022 smart_toyLOW (69) sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 7.76	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2022 smart_toyLOW (75) sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 7.00	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 April 2022 smart_toyLOW (55)	Gap Down	$ 14.25	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
21 January 2022 smart_toyLOW (63)	Gap Down	$ 13.89	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 December 2021 smart_toyLOW (56)	Gap Down	$ 18.28	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
09 November 2021 smart_toyLOW (54)	Gap Down	$ 25.08	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
08 September 2021 smart_toyLOW (57)	Gap Down	$ 26.09	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
01 July 2021 smart_toyLOW (33)	Gap Down	$ 25.41	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default

The data for Palantir Technologies Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: PLTR) was last updated 30 Jul 2026 02:22. Data for this stock is available from 19 Feb 2021 - 29 Jul 2026.