Polaris Inc (PII) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Double Seven Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to PII's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.02%. Win rate: 81.48%. Sharpe Ratio: -2.318. Maximum drawdown: -65.20% on 16 April 2025.
Mean CAGR: 86.66%. Time in market: 5285 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1249.85 on 13 April 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Polaris Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 27 signal(s) occurring before 18 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (81.48% * 8.54%) + (11.11% * 0.94%) - (7.41% * 27.60%) = 5.02%.
Wins: 22 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Polaris Inc Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
19 May 2026 bubble_chart shopping_cartLOW	Gap Down	$ 61.57	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
15 April 2026 bubble_chart shopping_cartLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 48.82	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2026 bubble_chart shopping_cartLOW	Gap Down	$ 65.24	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	schedule	schedule
15 October 2025 bubble_chart shopping_cartLOW	Gap Down	$ 68.06	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 September 2025 shopping_cartLOW	Gap Down	$ 58.30	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 July 2025 shopping_cartLOW	Gap Down	$ 55.94	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 May 2025 shopping_cartLOW	Gap Down	$ 39.08	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025 shopping_cartLOW	Gap Down	$ 38.03	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 April 2024	Gap Down	$ 93.70	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
09 March 2023	Gap Down	$ 116.30	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
29 September 2022 sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 99.84	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
26 August 2022	Gap Down	$ 119.60	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	disabled_by_default
16 May 2022	Gap Down	$ 108.56	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
01 March 2022	Gap Down	$ 118.84	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
18 January 2022	Gap Down	$ 115.16	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
02 June 2021	Gap Down	$ 130.04	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
23 March 2021	Gap Down	$ 131.60	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
27 January 2021	Gap Down	$ 120.40	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 October 2020	Gap Down	$ 93.26	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 April 2020	Gap Down	$ 71.82	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2020 sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 48.57	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 January 2020	Gap Down	$ 96.83	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 November 2019	Gap Down	$ 97.11	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
25 June 2019	Gap Down	$ 86.57	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
06 May 2019	Gap Down	$ 94.43	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
04 December 2018	Gap Down	$ 92.59	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
23 October 2018 sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 85.16	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
24 April 2018	Gap Down	$ 106.70	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
22 March 2018	Gap Down	$ 111.04	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
30 January 2018	Gap Down	$ 111.45	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
21 March 2017	Gap Down	$ 79.76	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
12 September 2016	Gap Down	$ 68.71	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
01 August 2016	Gap Down	$ 87.39	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 June 2016	Gap Down	$ 73.81	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
04 December 2015	Gap Down	$ 89.28	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for Polaris Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: PII) was last updated 26 Jun 2026 05:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 25 Jun 2026.