Polaris Inc (PII) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to PII's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 1.02%.   Win rate: 70.91%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.494.   Maximum drawdown: -75.20% on 16 April 2025.
Mean CAGR: 100.66%. Time in market: 13668 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $890.03 on 25 July 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Polaris Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 55 signal(s) occurring before 01 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (70.91% * 9.00%) + (9.09% * 1.00%) - (20.0% * 27.26%) = 1.02%.
Wins: 39 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 11

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Polaris Inc Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
14 May 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 65.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
10 March 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 52.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 February 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 68.46 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 January 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 66.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
01 December 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 64.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
27 October 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 71.09 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 September 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 56.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 August 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 53.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 110.46 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 131.51 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 113.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
14 March 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 112.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 114.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
09 January 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 103.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 110.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 September 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 98.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 August 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 118.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
24 August 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 126.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 July 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 134.61 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 June 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 132.33 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 May 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 132.15 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 April 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 144.33 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 March 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 139.20 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 February 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 121.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 January 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 105.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 December 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 96.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 94.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 October 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 95.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 August 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 102.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 July 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 104.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 June 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 91.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 March 2020   cards_starHIGH     Double Seven $ 44.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 February 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 92.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 January 2020   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 93.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 99.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 November 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 100.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 October 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 81.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 September 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 79.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 August 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 89.21 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 May 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 81.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 93.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 August 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 103.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 July 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 114.87 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 June 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 118.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 May 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 100.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 April 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 116.42 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 March 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 114.48 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 February 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 100.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 January 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 118.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 December 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 117.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 October 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 110.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
27 September 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 97.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 August 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 87.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 July 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 86.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 June 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 81.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 May 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 79.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 March 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 77.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 February 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 79.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 December 2016       Double Seven $ 79.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 September 2016       Double Seven $ 76.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 August 2016       Double Seven $ 84.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 May 2016       Double Seven $ 79.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 April 2016       Double Seven $ 86.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Polaris Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: PII) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 08 Jun 2026.