Polaris Inc (PII) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to PII's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.59%.   Win rate: 85.71%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.925.   Maximum drawdown: -58.00% on 03 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 142.84%. Time in market: 763 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1414.96 on 28 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Polaris Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 8.28%) + (14.29% * 3.41%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.59%.
Wins: 6 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Polaris Inc Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
20 March 2025   40     52 Week Low $ 41.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 February 2025   20     52 Week Low $ 44.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 January 2025   25     52 Week Low $ 56.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 December 2024   25     52 Week Low $ 64.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 October 2024   20     52 Week Low $ 70.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 July 2024   20     52 Week Low $ 75.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 May 2024   20     52 Week Low $ 80.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
25 April 2024   20     52 Week Low $ 83.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 November 2023   10     52 Week Low $ 83.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
23 October 2023   40     52 Week Low $ 91.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 October 2022   40     52 Week Low $ 93.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2022   40     52 Week Low $ 99.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2020  bubble_chart   75     52 Week Low $ 75.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 December 2018  bubble_chart   45     52 Week Low $ 81.35 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 October 2018  bubble_chart   30     52 Week Low $ 96.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Polaris Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: PII) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 11:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 26 Mar 2026.