Polaris Inc (PII) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to PII's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.23%.   Win rate: 80.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.424.   Maximum drawdown: -61.13% on 16 April 2025.
Mean CAGR: 132.27%. Time in market: 1597 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1026.13 on 27 April 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Polaris Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 10 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.0% * 8.29%) + (10.0% * 3.41%) - (10.0% * 27.48%) = 4.23%.
Wins: 8 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Polaris Inc Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
11 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 60 64 83 91 46 70 schedule schedule schedule
06 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 69 70 83 91 46 78 schedule schedule schedule
16 July 2026  bubble_chart Double Bottom 58 63 83 89 50 68 schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 69 77 83 89 50 80 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 47 59 83 89 50 60 schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 63 61 83 90 49 71 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 72 86 83 90 49 85 schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 52 85 85 87 52 71 schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 61 90 87 88 54 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
01 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 60 88 87 88 54 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
20 March 2025 52 Week Low $ 41.02 97 46 98 77 68 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 February 2025 52 Week Low $ 44.30 90 65 98 76 68 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 January 2025 52 Week Low $ 56.21 82 86 98 75 69 88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 December 2024 52 Week Low $ 64.72 79 83 98 78 70 86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 October 2024 52 Week Low $ 70.72 76 63 98 74 70 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 July 2024 52 Week Low $ 75.41 82 87 98 80 76 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 May 2024 52 Week Low $ 80.46 62 61 98 87 80 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 April 2024 52 Week Low $ 83.89 59 73 98 76 77 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 November 2023 52 Week Low $ 83.95 88 89 98 77 79 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
23 October 2023 52 Week Low $ 91.78 90 87 98 80 80 94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 October 2022 52 Week Low $ 93.80 97 94 100 84 56 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2022 52 Week Low $ 99.02 95 85 100 88 59 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 75.62 83 79 100 90 85 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 December 2018 52 Week Low $ 81.35 97 88 100 90 85 99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 October 2018 52 Week Low $ 96.34 51 84 100 91 81 69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Polaris Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: PII) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.