Novo Nordisk (NVO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to NVO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.13%.   Win rate: 85.71%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.627.   Maximum drawdown: -43.71% on 23 November 2016.
Mean CAGR: 110.78%. Time in market: 2161 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1899.59 on 25 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Novo Nordisk

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 8.29%) + (14.29% * 0.18%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.13%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Novo Nordisk Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
07 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (61)    stethoscopeLOW   schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyLOW (70)    stethoscopeLOW   schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyLOW (53)    stethoscopeHIGH   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (34)    stethoscopeLOW   schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyLOW (48)    stethoscopeHIGH   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (31)    stethoscopeLOW   schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyLOW (56)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 May 2026 Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyLOW (64)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2026 Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (41)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (72)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 49.57 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (71)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 49.75 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 January 2026   smart_toyLOW (52)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 60.45 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 December 2025   smart_toyLOW (57)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 52.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2025   smart_toyLOW (68)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 61.85 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 August 2025   smart_toyLOW (79)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 54.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
08 August 2025   smart_toyHIGH (95)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 50.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (66)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 68.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
08 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (79)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 65.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (61)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 69.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
30 April 2025   smart_toyLOW (77)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 66.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 April 2025   smart_toyHIGH (91)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 66.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 March 2025   smart_toyLOW (37)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 88.00 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (16)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 89.72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (21)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 83.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
06 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (23)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 86.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 January 2025   smart_toyLOW (29)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 86.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 December 2024   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 88.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 August 2024   smart_toyLOW (72)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 131.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 March 2024   smart_toyLOW (31)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 133.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (46)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 92.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 November 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 56.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2022   smart_toyLOW (78)     Gap Up $ 51.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 December 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Gap Up $ 35.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 November 2020   smart_toyLOW (62)     Gap Up $ 35.81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 27.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 25.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 May 2018   smart_toyLOW (31)     Gap Up $ 23.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (50)     Gap Up $ 25.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 August 2017   smart_toyLOW (74)     Gap Up $ 20.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2017   smart_toyLOW (79)     Gap Up $ 19.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2016   smart_toyLOW (54)     Gap Up $ 25.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 February 2016   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Gap Up $ 22.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Novo Nordisk (exchange: XNYS symbol: NVO) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 07:54. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 24 Jul 2026.