Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to NOC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.03%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 5.835.   Maximum drawdown: -17.13% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 230.85%. Time in market: 338 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1332.22 on 26 March 2020.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Northrop Grumman

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 8 signal(s) occurring before 18 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.03%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.03%.
Wins: 8 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Northrop Grumman Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
25 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (51)    factoryLOW   Super Oversold (GD) $ 500.16 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026      factoryLOW   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 535.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 March 2020       Super Oversold (MD) $ 274.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020       sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 277.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020       sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 292.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2018       sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 224.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018       sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 231.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018       sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 231.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2018       Super Oversold (26) $ 249.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 October 2018       sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 270.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Northrop Grumman Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: NOC) was last updated 26 Jun 2026 05:21. Data for this stock is available from 02 May 2016 - 25 Jun 2026.